首页|中国城市数实融合的区域差异、来源分解及形成机理

中国城市数实融合的区域差异、来源分解及形成机理

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首先综合运用纵横向拉开档次法、定基比例法、线性加权法测度2011-2020年全国287个地级及以上城市的数实融合指数;其次,基于空间和结构双重视角,运用Dagum基尼系数和方差分解方法考察城市数实融合差异大小及来源;最后,运用二次指派程序揭示其形成机理.研究结果表明:全国总体及四大区域城市数实融合水平均呈明显增长趋势,但2017年后融合水平不均衡现象较显著,且四大区域的空间分布存在显著异质性;城市数实融合差异的主要来源为区域间差异,其中东部—西部区域间差异最大,东部区域内差异明显高于其他区域;数实融合差异的主要结构来源于融合规模与融合基础;融合规模差异对城市数实融合差异的影响从东部向东北部区域依次减弱,融合结构差异的作用强度在东北部区域最强,在西部区域最小,融合基础与融合效率差异均在西部区域驱动力最强,在东部区域最小;融合基础与融合规模差异上升是导致2017年之后中国城市数实融合水平差异扩大的主要原因.研究丰富了中国城市数实融合评价体系与方法,为研究中国城市数实融合水平差异分布特征与演进态势、探索数字经济与实体经济深度融合有效路径提供重要的参考依据.
Regional Differences,Source Decomposition and Formation Mechanism of Urban Digital-real Integration in China
Three methods are employed,namely the vertical-horizontal gap widening method,the base ratio method,and the linear weighting method,to measure the number-real integration index of 287 cities at and above the prefectural level in China from 2011 to 2020.The number-real integration levels of cities are examined from spatial and structural perspectives using the Dagum Gini coefficient and variance decomposition method.A quadratic assignment procedure is utilized to reveal the formation mechanism.The results indicate a clear upward trend in the overall number-real integration level across the country and its four major regions.However,since 2017,an evident imbalance in integration levels emerged,with significant spatial heterogeneity among the four regions.Regional disparities are identified as the primary source of differences in number-real integration,with the largest disparity observed between the eastern and western regions.Internal differences within the eastern region are also prominent compared to other regions.The scale and foundation of integration constitute the main structural sources of integration differences.The impact of scale differences on number-real integration decreases sequentially from the east to the northeast region.The northeast region exhibites the strongest influence of structural differences,while the western region shows the least impact.Both integration foundation and efficiency differences have the strongest driving force on the western region and the weakest force on the eastern region.The rising disparities in integration foundation and scale are identified as the primary reasons for the widening differences in number-real integration levels in China since 2017.The findings contribute to the enrichment of the evaluation system and methods for assessing number-real integration in the cities of China.They provide valuable reference points for exploring the distribution characteristics and evolutionary trends of number-real integration levels in China,as well as for identifying effective pathways for deep integration between the digital economy and the real economy.

urban digital-real integrationspatial differencestructural decompositiondynamic comprehensive evaluation methodQAP

曾鹏、覃意晗、卢玉桂

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广西民族大学民族学与社会学学院,广西南宁 530006

广西民族大学经济学院,广西南宁 530006

广西职业师范学院经济与贸易学院,广西南宁 530007

城市数实融合 空间差异 结构分解 动态综合评价法 QAP

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20&ZD157

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(4)
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