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新型城镇化、市场化改革与数字经济发展

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随着中国正式迈入新发展阶段,高效推进新型城镇化建设,进一步加速数字经济发展,着力构建高水平现代化市场体系已然成为中国"十四五"时期乃至未来助力高质量发展的关键举措.基于中国30个省份2011-2020年的面板数据,综合运用面板向量自回归模型、耦合协调度模型、双重固定效应模型等方法客观揭示了新型城镇化、市场化改革与数字经济三大系统的互动关系、耦合协调发展程度及其有效驱动因素,得到以下研究结论:第一,新型城镇化能够显著推动地区市场化改革,市场化改革有利于促进数字经济发展;新型城镇化与数字经济则能够彼此支持、相互促进;第二,中国新型城镇化、市场化改革与数字经济的耦合协调程度稳步提升,三大系统间的互动联系愈发密切,协调发展态势已基本形成,但总体呈现由东向西的区域梯度差距分布;第三,固定资产投资、政府干预、科技创新等因素则是驱动三大系统耦合协调发展的关键.由此表明,创新完善宏观调控政策,科学引导,精准施策,统筹推动新型城镇化、市场化改革与数字经济的稳健发展,合理实现三者间的高水平联动,将是当代中国实现经济转型与高质量发展的题中应有之义.
New Urbanization,Market-oriented Reform,and Digital Economy Development
As China officially enters a new stage of development,efficiently promoting the construction of new urbanization,further accelerating the development of the digital economy,and focusing on building a high-level modern market system have become key measures to support high-quality development in China during the 14th Five Year Plan period and even in the future.Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020,and comprehensively apply methods such as panel vector autoregressive model,coupled coordination degree model,and double fixed effects model to objectively reveal the interactive relationship,coupled coordination development degree,and effective driving factors of the three major systems of new urbanization,market-oriented reform,and digital economy.The following conclusions are obtained:(1)New urbanization can significantly promote regional market-oriented reform,Marketization reform is conducive to promoting the development of the digital economy;The new urbanization and digital economy can support and promote each other;(2)The degree of coupling and coordination among China's new urbanization,market-oriented reform,and digital economy has steadily improved,and the interaction and connection among the three major systems approach gradually.The coordinated development trend has basically formed,but overall,there is a regional gradient gap distribution from east to west;(3)Factors such as material investment,government intervention,and technological innovation are the key factors driving the coupling and coordinating development of the three major systems.The results indicate that it is necessary to correctly fulfill government functions,innovate and improve macroeconomic regulation methods,strengthen policy guidance,implement precise policies,coordinate and promote the steady development of new urbanization,market-oriented reform,and digital economy,and reasonably achieve high-level linkage amongthem,which will be the essence of contempor-ary China's economic transformation and high-quality development.

new urbanizationmarket-oriented reformdigital economyinteractive relationshipscoupling coordination

李俊铭、夏友富

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对外经济贸易大学国家对外开放研究院,北京 100029

新型城镇化 市场化改革 数字经济 互动关系 耦合协调

国家社会科学基金一般项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

23BJY05772274062

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)