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数字普惠金融对共同富裕的影响及空间效应研究

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当前,数字普惠金融蓬勃发展并且具有广阔前景,研究数字普惠金融对共同富裕的影响具有重要意义.为此,从富裕性、协调性和可持续性三个维度,采用等权重法和熵权法构建了共同富裕水平指标体系;基于 2011-2021 年中国 31 个省份的面板数据,构建面板回归模型、空间杜宾模型以及中介效应模型,实证分析数字普惠金融对共同富裕的影响及空间效应,并进一步解析其异质性及作用机制.研究表明:中国省级共同富裕水平呈现快速增长趋势,且存在显著空间相关性,整体呈现东部高、中部和东北部中等、西部低的分布格局;同时,数字普惠金融可以显著促进当地共同富裕,但存在负向的空间溢出效应,该结论在一系列稳健性检验后仍然显著.进一步研究发现,数字普惠金融对中部地区共同富裕的促进作用较强,对东、西部和东北部地区作用相对较弱.数字普惠金融的使用深度相较于覆盖广度和数字化程度,对共同富裕的贡献更为显著.数字普惠金融能通过刺激消费、提升就业间接影响共同富裕.基于研究结论,提出要进一步加强数字化基础设施建设、强化数字普惠金融使用深度、充分发挥消费和就业积极作用以及制定区域协同发展规划,以促进共同富裕目标实现.
Study on the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Common Prosperity and Spatial Effects
Currently,digital inclusive finance is flourishing and holding broad prospects,which is of great importance to study the impact of digital inclusive finance on common prosperity.The article constructs an index system for the level of common prosperity based on the dimensions of richness,coordination,and sustainability using the equal weight method and entropy weight method.Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021,panel regression models,spatial Durbin models,and intermediary effect models are constructed to empirically analyze the impact of digital inclusive finance on common prosperity and spatial effects,and its heterogeneity and mechanisms are further analyzed.Research findings indicate that,the provincial common prosperity level in China exhibits a rapid growth trend during the test period with significant spatial correlation,showing an overall distribution pattern of high prosperity in the east,moderate in the central and northeast regions,and low in the west.Moreover,digital inclusive finance can significantly promote local common prosperity but shows negative spatial spillover effects,the conclusion holds up after a series of robustness tests.Further exploration reveals a stronger promotion effect of digital inclusive finance on common prosperity in the central region and relatively weaker effects in the eastern,western,and northeastern regions.The impact of digital inclusive finance is stronger in terms of depth of use on common prosperity,while the influence of coverage breadth and digitization level is relatively weaker.Digital inclusive finance impacts common prosperity by stimulating consumption and enhancing employment.Based on the research findings,it is proposed to further strengthen the construction of digital infrastructure,enhance the depth of digital inclusive finance utilization,fully leverage its positive effects on consumption and employment,and formulate regional coordinated development plans to promote the achievement of common prosperity goals.

digital inclusive financecommon prosperityspatial Durbin modelspatial spillover effectsconsumption and employment

郑丽、王怡嘉

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西安财经大学 经济学院,陕西 西安 710100

数字普惠金融 共同富裕 空间杜宾模型 空间溢出效应 消费与就业

全国统计科学研究重大项目西安财经大学研究生创新基金项目

2021LD0322YC004

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(8)
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