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中国产业链现代化:水平测度、区域差距及影响因素

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推动产业链现代化是构建新发展格局的重要一环.当前,全球产业链呈现"纵向缩短、横向区域集聚"重组趋势,中国产业链的安全和稳定面临着重大挑战,提升产业链现代化水平是保障中国经济健康发展的重要举措和必然要求.为科学量化评估中国产业链现代化水平,厘清当前产业链现代化进程中的突出问题、地区差距和影响因素,采用主客观结合方法测度 2011-2020 年中国产业链现代化水平,在此基础上,借助Dagum基尼系数剖析产业链现代化水平的区域差距,并运用 QAP方法探寻其空间不平衡的影响因素.研究发现:考察期间四大板块产业链现代化水平均呈上升态势,总体呈现东部>中部>西部>东北的发展格局;产业基础高级化、产业链自主安全性、产业链协同和产业链可持续性均不断改善;四大板块产业链现代化水平相对差距显著,且考察期间呈上升态势,东部地区与其他三地区的差异是区域间差异的主要构成;对外开放、经济发展、交通基础和政府调控差异对地区产业链现代化水平的区域差异均存在显著影响,其中对外开放差异是中国产业链现代化协同发展向高水平迈进的重要着力点和增长点.
Modernization of China's Industrial Chain:Level Measurement,Regional Gap,and Influencing Factors
Promoting the modernization of the industrial chain is an important part of building a new development pattern.At present,the global industrial chain shows a restructuring trend of"vertical shortening and horizontal regional agglomeration",and the security and stability of China's industrial chain is facing major challenges,so upgrading the modernisation level of the industrial chain is an important measure and an inevitable requirement for ensuring the healthy development of China's economy.Scientific measurement of the modernization level of China's industrial chain,exploration of its spatial imbalance characteristics,and in-depth analysis of the causes of regional differences are of great significance for promoting the coordinated improvement of the modernization level of inter regional industrial chains.Using a combination of subjective and objective measurement methods to measure the modernization level of China's industrial chain from 2011 to 2020,using Dagum Gini coefficient and Kernel density estimation methods to reveal the relative and absolute differences in the modernization level of the industrial chain,and using QAP method to explore the causes of its spatial imbalance.The study finds that:during the inspection period,the modernization level of the industry chain of the four major sectors rises,generally showing a development pattern of East>Central>West>Northeast.Continuous improvement in industrial foundation advancement,industry chain R&D autonomy,industry chain synergy and industry chain sustainability.The relative gap in the level of modernization of the industry chain among the four major segments is significant and on the rise during the study period,with the difference between the eastern region and the other three regions being the main component of interregional differences.Opening up to the outside world,economic development,transportation infrastructure and government regulation all have a significant impact on the regional differences in the level of regional industrial chain modernization,in which opening up to the outside world is an important focus and growth point for the coordinated development of China's industrial chain modernization to a high level.

modernization of the industrial chainquantitative evaluationregional differencesquadratic assignment procedureinfluencing factors

李旭辉、陈梦伟、吴权

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安徽财经大学 管理科学与工程学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030

产业链现代化 量化评估 区域差距 二次指派程序 影响因素

国家社会科学基金一般项目

22BJY262

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(10)
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