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中国营商环境的测度、时空演变特征与优化路径研究

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随着全球经济一体化和区域经济协同发展的不断加深,营商环境的优化已成为推动地区经济增长和提高区域竞争力的重要因素.基于"双循环"格局和中国式现代化的理论内涵,从市场化、法治化、国际化三个层面构建了中国营商环境评价指标体系,根据逐层纵横向拉开档次法对 2005-2022 年中国 30 个省份的营商环境进行测度,并通过Kernel核密度估计与协调度模型分析其时空演变特征与优化路径.研究发现,中国各地区营商环境的演变规律存在多元性,综合发展水平持续提升.东部地区营商环境的内部综合差异存在扩大趋势;西部地区营商环境的地区差异逐渐缩小;中部地区和东北地区营商环境的内部差异经历了多轮先增大后缩小的波浪式进程.此外,通过协调性分析发现,不同地区营商环境的短板具有异质性.整体来看,各地区营商环境的国际化水平与市场化水平、法治化水平之间的协调度普遍偏低;分地区看,中部地区的国际化与法治化平均协调度处于较低水平,且改善进展相对迟缓;东北地区和西部地区在市场化与国际化平均协调度上存在的短板是制约其整体协调度提高的主要障碍.基于上述研究结论,提出各地区应根据发展实际,关注自身营商环境的短板,找准制约营商环境发展的堵点,重视并加强营商环境的建设,以推进中国省域营商环境的整体优化与提升,助力加速构建"双循环"格局.
Research on the Measurement,Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Optimizing Path of China's Business Environment
With the deepening of global economic integration and the synergistic development of regional economies,the optimizing of the business environment has become an important factor in promoting regional economic growth and enhancing regional competitiveness.Based on the theoretical connotation of"double-cycle"pattern and Chinese-style modernization,the evaluation index system of China's business environment is constructed from the three levels of marketization,legalization and internationalization,and the business environment of the private economy in 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2022 is measured according to the vertical and horizontal slotting method,and its temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and optimizing path are analyzed through the Kernel density estimation and Coordination Degree Model.Kernel density estimation and coordination model are used to analyze its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and optimizing path.It is found that there are multiple patterns of evolution of the business environment in various regions of China,and the level of comprehensive measurement continues to rise.There is a certain tendency for the comprehensive differences in the business environment of the eastern region to widen;The regional differences of the business environment in the western region are gradually narrowing;And the internal differences of the business environment in the central region and the northeastern region have gone through several rounds of a wave-like process of increasing and then narrowing.In addition,the coordination analysis reveals that the shortcomings of the business environment in different regions are heterogeneous.On the whole,the coordination between the internationalization level and the marketization and legalization level of the business environment in each region is generally low;On a sub-regional basis,the average internationalization-legalization coordination in the central region is low and improve slowly;The shortcomings in the average marketization-internationalization coordination of the northeastern region and the western region are the key factors limiting the further improvement of their overall coordination.Based on the above conclusions,it is proposed that all regions should pay attention to the shortcomings of their own business environment according to the development reality,identify the blockages that constrain the development of the business environment,and pay attention to and strengthen the construction of the business environment,so as to promote the optimization and enhancement of the business environment of China's provinces as a whole,and to help accelerate the construction of the"double-circle"pattern.

business environment"double-cycle"developmentindicator systemsKernel density estimationcoordination analysis

柯达、刘柳青、杨青龙

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中南财经政法大学 统计与数学学院,湖北 武汉 430073

《统计与决策》编辑部,湖北 武汉 430071

营商环境 "双循环"发展 指标体系 核密度估计 协调度分析

国家社会科学基金一般项目

20BTJ039

2024

统计与信息论坛
西安财经学院,中国统计教育学会高教分会

统计与信息论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.857
ISSN:1007-3116
年,卷(期):2024.39(10)
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