特区经济2024,Issue(1) :63-70.

商品金融化程度与货币政策目标的动态影响机制研究——基于TVP-SV-VAR模型的实证分析

Study on the Interaction Mechanism Between Commodity Financialization Degree and Monetary Policy and Objectives——Empirical Analysis Based on TVP SV-VAR Model

王萱 姜春艳
特区经济2024,Issue(1) :63-70.

商品金融化程度与货币政策目标的动态影响机制研究——基于TVP-SV-VAR模型的实证分析

Study on the Interaction Mechanism Between Commodity Financialization Degree and Monetary Policy and Objectives——Empirical Analysis Based on TVP SV-VAR Model

王萱 1姜春艳1
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作者信息

  • 1. 深圳信息职业技术学院,广东 深圳 518172
  • 折叠

摘要

商品市场与金融市场特征越发的相似促使学者对其进行深入的研究.本文采用TVP-SV-VAR模型对商品金融化程度与货币政策及目标之间的互动机制进行分析,结果表明:商品金融化程度因素对经济系统的影响具有时变特征,且对宏观经济信息敏感度较强;商品金融化程度对价格型货币政策的影响比对数量型货币政策的正向影响更为显著;商品金融化程度高的对货币政策影响持久且较为平稳,但是中短期更为显著.本研究通过分析商品金融化的不同程度对宏观经济政策的影响并提出具有针对性的政策方案.

Abstract

The increasingly similar characteristics of commodity markets and financial markets prompted scholars to conduct in-depth research on them.This article uses the TVP-SV-VAR model to analyze the interac-tion mechanism between the degree of commodity financialization and monetary policy and targets,and the re-sults show that:The impact of the degree of commodity financialization on the economic system has time-varying characteristics,and it is highly sensitive to macroeconomic information;the degree of commodity financialization will have a more significant impact on price-type monetary policy than the quantitative type of monetary policy;the degree of commodity financialization will have a lasting and stable impact on monetary policy,and at the same time will be short-and medium-term The impact is even more significant.It focuses on the impact of different degrees of commodity financialization on macroeconomic policies and pro-poses targeted policy implementation plans.

关键词

商品金融化程度/货币政策/通货膨胀/宏观经济

Key words

Degree of Financialization of Commodities/Monetary Policy/Inflation/Macro-Economy

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基金项目

广东省哲学社会科学"十四五"规划项目(GD21YYJ11)

2021年度广东省青少年研究立项课题(2021WT048)

出版年

2024
特区经济
深圳市社会科学院

特区经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.257
ISSN:1004-0714
参考文献量8
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