特区经济2024,Vol.421Issue(2) :42-46.

城市内部收缩的测度与影响因素识别——以重庆市区县尺度为例

Measurement of Urban Shrinkage and Identification of Influencing Factors——Taking the District and County Scale of Chongqing as an Example

任晓红 赵禾
特区经济2024,Vol.421Issue(2) :42-46.

城市内部收缩的测度与影响因素识别——以重庆市区县尺度为例

Measurement of Urban Shrinkage and Identification of Influencing Factors——Taking the District and County Scale of Chongqing as an Example

任晓红 1赵禾1
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作者信息

  • 1. 重庆交通大学 经济与管理学院,重庆 400074
  • 折叠

摘要

本文基于2010-2019年的人口、经济和社会的面板数据综合测度城市收缩度,并结合"六普""七普"进一步分析区县收缩现象及空间演化,识别并分析收缩区县的影响因素.研究表明,重庆市在2010-2014年,2015-2019年和2010-2019年中内部收缩依次占比55.26%、34.21%和47.37%;且两次普查数据表明重庆市内部常住人口减少与人口收缩分别占36.84%和73.68%,人口收缩严重.此外,影响区县收缩的因素和作用机制非常复杂,人口年龄结构、城市化水平、财政收支情况以及产业结构均有一定的解释力,对重庆市内部收缩的影响很大.

Abstract

Based on the panel data of population,economy and society from 2010 to 2019,the urban shrinkage degree was comprehensively measured,and the contraction phenomenon and spatial evolution of districts and counties were further analyzed by combining the"six and seven pres",and the influencing factors of shrink-ing districts and counties were identified and analyzed.The results showed that the internal shrinkage of Chongqing in 2010-2014,2015-2019 and 2010-2019 accounted for 55.26%,34.21%and 47.37%respectively.The data of the two censuses show that the decrease of permanent population and the contraction of population ac-count for 36.84%and 73.68%respectively,indicating a serious population contraction.In addition,the fac-tors and mechanisms affecting the shrinkage of districts and counties are very complex.The population age structure,urbanization level,financial expenditure and industrial structure all have a certain explana-tory power,which has a great impact on the internal shrinkage of Chongqing.

关键词

城市收缩/综合测度/人口收缩/普查数据/影响因素

Key words

Urban Shrinkage/A Comprehensive Measure/Populatio is S-Hrinking/Census Data/Influence Factor

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY223)

重庆市重大决策咨询一般项目(FGWXSW2020-1-)

出版年

2024
特区经济
深圳市社会科学院

特区经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.257
ISSN:1004-0714
参考文献量28
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