新疆旅游收入的组合预测及发展研究分析
The Combination Forecast and Development Analysis of Xinjiang Tourism Income
马啸天1
作者信息
- 1. 喀什大学 数学与统计学院,新疆 喀什 844000
- 折叠
摘要
近年来,新疆的旅游业蓬勃发展,其带来的旅游收入已然成为衡量当地经济发展的一大关键指标.本文收集了2013-2022年新疆国内旅游收入的相关数据,通过建立GM(1,1)模型、采用灰色关联分析法对国内旅游收入相关影响因素进行了分析,最后结合相关程度较高的影响因素建立了多元线性回归方程,并围绕显著性分析结果给出相关建议.
Abstract
In recent years,Xinjiang's tourism industry has developed vigorously,and its tourism income has become a key indicator to measure the local economic development.This paper collected the relevant data of Xinjiang's domestic tourism income from 2013 to 2022.First,a GM(1,1)model was established,Second,grey correlation analysis was used to analyze the relevant influencing factors of domestic tourism income.Third,multiple linear regression equations were established combining the influential factors with high correlation degree,and relevant suggestions were given based on the significance analysis results.
关键词
旅游收入预测/灰色预测/组合预测Key words
Tourism Revenue Forecast/Grey Prediction/Combinatorial Forecastin引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024