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数值仿真视角下的信息疫情演进与治理

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后疫情时代,在人类与新冠肺炎疫情的常态化共存中不能忽视对信息疫情的治理,而作为顶层设计的数字健康干预能有效提升针对信息疫情的防控水平。文章以完善其中缺少的信息疫情干预内容为起点,建立UEIR信息疫情演进模型,利用Netlogo在无标度网络上进行动态仿真模拟,分析知晓率、感染率、初始免疫率、获得免疫率、重新感染率在不同数值下的影响。研究揭示了信息疫情演进的宏观规律,发现采取系统化的干预措施能减小信息疫情的影响程度,为补足数字健康干预顶层设计以指导信息疫情防控提供了科学依据。
A Numerical Simulation Perspective on the Evolution and Governance of Information Epidemics
In the post-epidemic era,the normalised coexistence of humans and Covid-19 makes the management of information epidemics(infodemics)non-negligible.As a top-level design,digital health interventions can effectively enhance the prevention and control of information epidemics.Based on the improvement for the missing infodemic intervention components,the article builds a UEIR information epidemic evolution model,and uses Netlogo to perform dynamic simulation on the scale-free network to analyze the effects of awareness,infection,initial immunity,acquired immunity,and reinfection rates at different values.The study reveals the macroscopic law of information epidemic evolution and finds that the adoption of systematic intervention measures can reduce the impact of information epidemics,providing a scientific basis to complement the top-level design of digital health interventions to guide the prevention and control of information epidemics.

information epidemic(infodemic)digital health interventionnumerical simulationUEIR progressing model

王阳

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北京大学新闻与传播学院

信息疫情 数字健康干预 数值仿真 UEIR演进模型

2024

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广东省立中山图书馆

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CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.864
ISSN:1002-1167
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)
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