Research on Disruptive Technology Weak Signal Recognition Funnel Model
[Purpose/Significance]The weak signal recognition index system is established according to the ear-ly characteristics of disruptive technology development,and multi-signal filters are designed based on the features of different signals and the perspective of multi-source data to realize the early identification of disruptive technology.[Method/Process]It conducted the funnel model of weak signal recognition for disruptive technologies and designed the mainstream technology signal filter on the indicators of novelty and weak signal potential,the noise signal filter on the persistence and high value,and the progressive innovation weak signal filter on the mutability and prospective characteristics.By filtering out mainstream technology signals,noise signals and gradual innovation weak signals,it screened out disruptive technology weak signals.[Result/Conclusion]This paper selects the field of hydrogen storage to carry out empirical analysis.Through strategic planning and authoritative verification of weak signal recognition results of disruptive technologies in the field of hydrogen storage,it proves the effectiveness of the method.
disruptive technologyweak signaltechnology identificationsignal filterfunnel model
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
