首页|数字素养政策框架嬗变及其因果推理:来自复杂网络与机器学习的新证据

数字素养政策框架嬗变及其因果推理:来自复杂网络与机器学习的新证据

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[目的/意义]对我国数字素养政策进行梳理分析,挖掘我国数字素养政策演进过程中政策要素关联与因果联系,探究数字素养提升治理路径,为促进数字素养政策优化完善提供参考借鉴.[方法/过程]设计一个结合扎根理论、贝叶斯复杂网络和机器学习方法的政策文本分析流程,收集1 087份我国数字素养相关政策文本,构建出我国数字素养政策框架.在此框架基础上运用贝叶斯复杂网络和随机森林方法展开政策要素关联演进分析、政策工具—目标因果推理,归纳出全民数字素养提升路径.[结果/结论]我国数字素养政策主体包含党组织、政府主体、政府外部主体等3类,政策工具涵盖赋能型、培养型、刺激型、扶持型和执行型5类.赋能型工具是核心维度,并对政策目标的耦合协调度具有最重要影响;培养型工具在各个时期始终与政策目标保持着最大正相关性,同时对政策目标综合得分具有最重要影响;刺激型工具的地位不断上升但潜能尚未得到有效发掘;在涌现阶段,政策网络中心节点由赋能型工具转变为执行型工具,并且与扶持型工具最为紧密.未来需精准把握不同政策工具的特性,通过优化工具组合、汇聚多元力量、推进素养教育、发展数字经济、开展数字帮扶和提升政策效能来多方位推动全民数字素养提升.
Digital Literacy Policy Framework Evolution and Its Causal Reasoning:New Evidence from Complex Net-work and Machine Learning
[Purpose/Significance]This paper analyzes China's digital literacy policy,excavates the correla-tion and causal relationship of policy elements in its evolution,explores the governance path of digital literacy improvement,and provides reference for promoting the optimization and improvement of digital literacy policy.[Method/Process]Through the policy text analysis process on grounded theory,Bayesian complex network and machine learning method,it collected 1087 policy texts related to digital literacy in China,and constructed the pol-icy framework.On the basis of it,it analyzed the evolution of policy elements,policy tool-target causal reasoning with Bayesian complex network and random forest method,and summarized the promotion path of national digital literacy.[Result/Conclusion]The main body of China's digital literacy policy includes three categories:party or-ganization,government subject and government external subject.The policy tools can be divided into five types:empowerment,training,stimulation,support and implementation.The first type is the core dimension and has the most important influence on the coupling coordination degree of policy objectives.The second always maintains the greatest positive correlation with the policy objectives in each period,and has the most important influence on the comprehensive score of the policy objectives.The status of stimulation tool is rising but its potential has not been effectively explored.In the emergence stage,the central node of the policy network changes from the empowerment to the implementation with the most closely relation to the support.In the future,it is necessary to accurately grasp the characteristics of different policy tools,and promote the improvement of digital literacy by optimizing the com-bination of tools,gathering multiple forces,promoting literacy education,developing digital economy,carrying out digital assistance and improving policy effectiveness.

digital literacypolicy frameworkpolicy toolscausal reasoning

刘春年、张允良、易岚

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南昌大学公共政策与管理学院 南昌 330031

南昌大学江西省哲学社会科学重点研究基地"数字素养与技能提升研究中心" 南昌 330031

数字素养 政策框架 政策工具 因果推理

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

7206402772364024

2024

图书情报工作
中国科学院文献情报中心

图书情报工作

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.203
ISSN:0252-3116
年,卷(期):2024.68(11)