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台湾地区粮食供应安全问题研究:粮食供应自主性视角

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粮食供应形态是粮食供应安全问题的关键影响因素.台湾地区粮食供应存在的安全问题、成因以及可能的解决路径,可以借助根因分析(RCA)方法从粮食供应自主性视角入手加以分析.研究发现,当前台湾地区的粮食供应面临生产能力萎缩、供应韧性散失、治理能力失灵三大自主性风险,由此可能引发粮食供应自主能力危机.受自然与历史条件、经济与产业发展、需求结构倒逼、功利化的政策举措等因素影响,岛内粮食供应形态固化,粮食供应自主能力危机爆发的概率持续攀升.两岸合作、强化进口来源和种类多样性、优化粮食生产管理方式和重设粮食生产效益目标等可以增强岛内粮食生产能力,提升粮食供应安全,但当前的政治经济条件难以支持上述方案的实现.
Research on Food Supply Security in Taiwan Region:From the Perspective of Food Supply Autonomy
The form of food supply is a key factor affecting food supply security.Utilizing the Root Cause Analysis(RCA)method,this study explores the security issues,causes,and potential solutions of the food supply in the Taiwan region from the perspective of food supply autonomy.The research reveals that the food supply in Taiwan is currently confronted with three major autonomy risks:the atrophy of production capacity,the loss of supply resilience,and the dysfunction of governance capabilities,which may lead to a crisis in food supply autonomy.Influenced by natural and historical conditions,economic and industrial development,demand structure pressures,and utilitarian policy measures,the food supply pattern within the island has become rigid,and the likelihood of a crisis in the autonomy of food supply is growing.Taiwan can focus on enhancing food production capabilities and improving food supply security in areas such as cross-Strait cooperation,diversifying import sources and types,optimizing grain production management methods,and resetting grain growth benefit targets.However,the current political and economic conditions make it difficult to implement the above plans.

Taiwan regionfood supply securityfood supply autonomyfood supply autonomy risks

唐永红、段柏旭

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厦门大学 台湾研究院,福建 厦门 361005

厦门大学 台湾研究中心,福建 厦门 361005

台湾地区 粮食供应安全 粮食供应自主性 粮食供应自主性风险

2024

台湾研究集刊
厦门大学台湾研究院

台湾研究集刊

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:0.644
ISSN:1002-1590
年,卷(期):2024.(6)