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基于事故树的山地旅游安全事故影响因素分析

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为了减少山地旅游安全事故的发生,本文运用事故树分析法,从人、机、环、管 4 个因素构建了事故树模型,并对山地旅游安全事故影响因素进行了深入的分析.通过定性分析事故树的结构,计算出了其最小割集、最小径集、结构重要度并对其排序.根据基本事件对顶上事件的影响程度的大小,提出了有针对性的预防措施,有效地降低了顶上事件发生的概率,从而达到了降低山地旅游安全事故发生的目的.
Analysis of Influencing Factors of Mountain Tourism Safety Accidents Based on Accident Tree
In order to reduce the occurrence of mountain tourism safety accidents,this paper uses the accident tree analysis method to construct an accident tree model from four factors:human,machine,environment,and management,and conducts in-depth analysis of the factors affecting mountain tourism safety accidents.Through qualitative analysis of the structure of the accident tree,the minimum cut set,minimum path set,and structural importance are calculated and ranked.Based on the magnitude of the impact of basic events on top events,targeted preventive measures are proposed to effectively reduce the probability of top events,thereby achieving the goal of reducing the occurrence of mountain tourism safety accidents.

mountain tourismaccident tree analysisminimum cut setminimum path setstructural importance

余远涛、舒仕海、朱买琴、谢兰兰、王树勇

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兴义民族师范学院物理与工程技术学院, 贵州 兴义 562400

山地旅游 事故树分析法 最小割集 最小径集 结构重要度

国家级大学生创新创业项目

202110666026

2024

科技创新与生产力
太原科技战略研究院

科技创新与生产力

影响因子:0.271
ISSN:1674-9146
年,卷(期):2024.45(1)
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