摘要
本文运用系统动力学模型研究体育赛事风险管理的多重机理及其影响因素之间的关系.以系统动力学为工具,对我国体育赛事领域突发事件的机理和事件发生后所采取的应急管理进行分析,通过绘制突发事件机理的因果关系图,深入探讨各机理的逻辑.运用VENSIM—PLE7.3.5 软件对"原则性机理""原理性机理""流程性机理""操作性机理"等体育赛事领域突发事件机理进行分析.在此基础上提出了突发事件的机理分析与应急管理研究思路、应对方法和对策措施.
Abstract
This study employs a system dynamics model to scrutinize the intricate relationships among various mechanisms and influencing factors in sports event risk management.Utilizing system dynamics as a tool,the research dissects the mechanisms behind emergencies in China's sports event domain and the emergency management strategies implemented post-incident.Through the creation of causal loop diagrams depicting the mechanisms at play,the study delves deep into the logical underpinnings of each mechanism.The VENSIM-PLE7.3.5 software is utilized to analyze mechanisms such as"principled mechanisms,""principle-based mechanisms,""process mechanisms,"and"operational mechanisms"in the realm of sports event emergencies.Building on this analysis,the study proposes research methodologies,coping strategies,and countermeasures to comprehensively understand the mechanisms governing emergencies and emergency management in sports events.
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