首页|基于贝叶斯网络的拉线塔安全性评估方法

基于贝叶斯网络的拉线塔安全性评估方法

Safety Evaluation Method of Guyed Tower Based on Bayesian Network

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针对拉线塔安全性的影响因素众多,安全评估受主观性影响较大的问题,提出一种基于贝叶斯网络的输电拉线塔安全性评估方法.该方法根据故障树进行构建贝叶斯网络模型,利用拉线塔实际检测数据获取根节点故障状态及其概率,克服了根节点故障概率难以获取的问题.基于贝叶斯网络因果推理,实现拉线塔故障概率计算、致灾因子识别以及故障诊断,实现对拉线塔安全性的分析.通过实例分析表明:基于贝叶斯网络的拉线塔安全性评估方法克服了传统综合评价法主观性强的问题,评估结果与运行情况的一致性较强,可作为拉线塔安全评估的决策工具.
In order to solve the problem that there are many factors affecting the safety of guyed towers and the safety evaluation is greatly influenced by subjectivity,a safety evaluation method for guyed tower based on Bayesian network is proposed.This method constructs a Bayesian network model based on the fault tree,and u-ses the actual detection data of guyed tower to obtain the root node fault state and its probability,which over-comes the difficulty in obtaining the root node fault probability.The fault probability calculation,disaster factor identification and fault diagnosis of guyed tower are realized,and the safety analysis of guyed tower is realized through causal reasoning of Bayesian network.The example analysis shows that the safety assessment method based on Bayesian network overcomes the problem of subjectivity of the traditional comprehensive evaluation method,and the evaluation results are consistent with the operation conditions,which can be used as a deci-sion-making tool for the safety assessment of the guyed tower.

Guyed towerSafety assessmentFault treeBayesian networkImportance

姜岚、曹芝滔、唐波、智李、陈彬

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三峡大学电气与新能源学院 宜昌 443002

湖北省输电线路工程技术研究中心 宜昌 443002

拉线塔 安全评估 故障树 贝叶斯网络 重要度

2024

特种结构
北京市市政工程设计研究总院

特种结构

影响因子:0.234
ISSN:1001-3598
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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