首页|基于温室气体口径的城市碳当量达峰路径规划——以浙江省T市为例

基于温室气体口径的城市碳当量达峰路径规划——以浙江省T市为例

扫码查看
碳预算的研究思路已成为区域碳达峰路径规划的重要分析框架.以浙江省T市为例,基于温室气体全口径,对全市 2021 年碳当量总额进行核算,并按照碳预算的分析框架,构建了城市能源和碳当量LEAP(节能减排分析平台)模型;同时设置基准情景、能耗强度情景、能源替代情景进行比较研究.结果显示:在非化石能源持续建设的背景下,全市能源消费总量与碳当量总额存在一定程度的背离倾向,即在全市能耗总量稳步提高的情况下,碳当量总额预期将于 2030 年后形成高位波动态势.因此,为了持续推进"双碳"工作,需规划建设符合"双碳"要求的能源体系,深化能效提升和低碳转型集成改革,强化温室气体排放的控制能力建设.
Research On Prefectural Carbon Equivalent Peaking Path Planning Based on Greenhouse Gas Caliber—Taking T City in Zhejiang Province as an Example
Carbon budget research has become an important framework for regional carbon peaking path planning.Taking T City of Zhejiang Province as an example,this paper calculates the total carbon equivalent of the city in 2021 based on the full scope of greenhouse gases,and builds the LEAP(Low Emissions Analysis Platform)model of prefectural energy and carbon equivalent according to the analysis framework of carbon budget,and sets the baseline scenario,energy intensity scenario and energy alternative scenario to carry out comparative research.The results show that in the context of the continuous construction of non-fossil energy,there is a certain degree of divergence between the total energy con-sumption and the total carbon equivalent.That is,when the total energy consumption of the city steadily increases,the to-tal carbon equivalent is expected to form a high fluctuation trend after 2030.Therefore,in order to promote energy conser-vation and emission reduction,it is necessary to plan an energy system that meets the requirements of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,and deepen integrated reforms to improve energy efficiency,and enhance the ability to control green-house gas emissions.

greenhouse gascarbon peakingLEAP model

陈宇光

展开 >

台州行政学院 经济学教研室,浙江 台州 318000

温室气体 碳达峰 LEAP模型

台州市哲学社会科学规划项目

22GHB03

2023

台州学院学报
台州学院

台州学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.283
ISSN:1672-3708
年,卷(期):2023.45(6)
  • 2