首页|就业质量对育龄流动人口二孩生育意愿的影响——基于南京市的实证调查

就业质量对育龄流动人口二孩生育意愿的影响——基于南京市的实证调查

扫码查看
提高育龄流动人口生育意愿是解决我国老龄化问题的重要途径.文中基于"成本—效用"理论,利用南京市调查数据,构建Probit回归模型,实证分析了就业质量对育龄流动人口二孩生育意愿的影响.研究结果显示:(1)育龄流动人口二孩生育意愿整体偏低,愿意生育二孩的育龄流动人口仅占总样本的38%;(2)就业质量显著提升了育龄流动人口的二孩生育意愿,其中"收入效应"在育龄流动人口的二孩生育意愿中居主导地位;(3)异质性分析表明,就业质量对男性、非高龄产妇以及流动时间较长的育龄流动人口的二孩生育意愿,会起到更强的促进作用.建议政府应大力改善育龄流动人口的就业质量,借以提高二孩生育意愿.
A Study on the Impact of Employment Quality on the Fertility Desire for a Second Child among Migrant Population of Childbearing Age
Improving the fertility willingness of the migrant population of childbearing age is an impor-tant way to solve the problem of aging in China.Based on the"cost-effectiveness"theory and using sur-vey data from Nanjing city,a Probit regression model was constructed to empirically analyze the impact of employment quality on the willingness of migrant population of childbearing age to have a second child.The research results show that:(1)the overall desire of migrant population of childbearing age to have a second child is low,with only 38%of the total sample willing to have a second child;(2)The quality of employment has significantly improved the willingness of migrant workers of childbearing age to have a second child,with the"income effect"dominating the willingness of migrant workers of childbearing age to have a second child;(3)Heterogeneity analysis shows that employment quality has a stronger promo-ting effect on the willingness of men,non-elderly parturient women,and migrant populations of child-bearing age with longer migration time to have a second child.It is suggested that the government should vigorously improve the employment quality of the migrant population of childbearing age,so as to increase their willingness to have a second child.

employment qualitypopulation of childbearing agefertility desirefertility policy

沙柢、郭汶博

展开 >

南京理工大学 马克思主义学院 江苏 南京:210094

就业质量 育龄人口 生育意愿 生育政策

2024

武汉工程职业技术学院学报
武汉工程职业技术学院

武汉工程职业技术学院学报

影响因子:0.311
ISSN:1671-3524
年,卷(期):2024.36(4)