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劳动力成本驱动物流业发展研究

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选取2004-2020 年长三角城市群26 市的面板数据,采用熵值法测算各城市物流发展水平并描述其演变规律,利用普通面板模型、面板向量自回归模型及门槛模型探究劳动力成本对物流发展水平的影响.结果表明:各城市物流发展水平整体上有所进步,具有明显的俱乐部趋同现象和惯性发展趋势.劳动力成本是物流发展水平的驱动因素,劳动力成本的正向影响存在阶段性,当劳动力成本和产业结构跨越门槛值时,其促进作用呈先弱后强的非线性特征.
On the Influence of Labor Cost on the Development of the Logistics Industry
This study selected panel data of 26 cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations from 2004 to 2020,and used the entropy method to measure the logistics development in each city and describe its evolution law.It also explored the impact of labor cost on logistics development by using ordinary panel model,panel vector autoregressive model,and threshold model.The findings indicate that:(1)the overall level of logistics development in each city has improved,with obvious club convergence phenomenon and inertial development trend;(2)as the driving factor of logistics development,labor cost shows phasic positive impact,and when labor cost and industrial structure surpass the threshold value,their promoting effect exhibits a nonlinear feature of initial weakness followed by strength.

labor costslevel of logistics developmentSpatial Markov chainpanel vector autoregressive modelthreshold effect

江雨燕、张泽康

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安徽工业大学,安徽 马鞍山 243032

劳动力成本 物流发展水平 空间马尔科夫链 面板向量自回归模型 门槛效应

安徽普通高校重点实验室开放基金项目

CS2022-ZD02

2024

武汉商学院学报
武汉商业服务学院

武汉商学院学报

影响因子:0.318
ISSN:1009-2277
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
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