首页|经济新常态下我国滑雪旅游产业高质量发展研究——基于3个雪季的数据预测及市场细分

经济新常态下我国滑雪旅游产业高质量发展研究——基于3个雪季的数据预测及市场细分

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北京冬奥会的成功举办推动我国冰雪运动跨越式发展,民众对冰雪运动体验品质的要求随着冰雪产业加速崛起而不断迭代升级,如何坚持供需两端发力、释放良性消费潜力成为后续相关工作的核心命题。为此,通过线上线下相结合的方式,对北京市周边8个滑雪场的1 177名滑雪旅游者进行了连续三年的系列深度调查。针对行为意向作用机制开展两个关键研究,旨在探讨提升滑雪旅游者行为意向、激发滑雪旅游者内在驱力的策略。研究一以计划行为理论为视角,探讨行为态度、主观规范和感知行为控制对冬奥前、中、后不同时期滑雪旅游者行为意向的影响程度及差异。研究二是在研究一的基础上,融入游憩专业化理论视角,对后冬奥时期滑雪旅游者进行市场细分,并进一步比较不同细分市场群体间滑雪旅游行为意向的差异。研究发现:(1)相较于主观规范和感知行为控制,滑雪旅游者的行为态度是正向影响其行为意向更关键的因素且在后冬奥时期的表现更为突出;(2)依据游憩专业化三个子维度(认知、情感、行为),可以有效细分后冬奥时期滑雪旅游者;拥有不同游憩专业化程度的滑雪旅游者,在滑雪旅游行为意向上具有显著差异。鉴于此,研究构建较为全面的滑雪旅游者个体行为预测分析通道,进而提出推动我国滑雪旅游产业高质量发展的对策,驱动滑雪旅游产业成为我国扩内需、促消费、稳增长的新兴动力,实现冰雪运动可持续发展目标。
High-Quality Development of Ski Tourism Industry under New Normal of China's Economy-Data Prediction and Market Segmentation Based on Three Snow Seasons
The successful hosting of the Beijing Winter Olympics has promoted the leapfrog development of ice and snow sports in China,and the public's demands for quality ice and snow sports experience are constantly iterated and upgraded with the accelerated rise of the ice and snow industry.General Secretary Xi Jinping's speech at the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 12th,2023,pointed out the direction for the high-quality development of the ice and snow economy which has broad market value and development prospects.How to adhere to the dual forces of supply and demand and unleash the potential for healthy consumption has become the core proposition of subsequent related work.Therefore,this study conducted a series of in-depth surveys on 1 177 skiing tourists from 8 ski resorts around Beijing for three consecutive years,using a combination of online and offline methods.Through two key studies on the mechanism of behavioral intention,strategies to enhance skiing tourists'behavioral intention and stimulate their intrinsic drive were proposed.Study 1 explored the extent and differences in the influence of attitude towards the behavior,subjective norms,and perceived behavioral control on the skiing tourists'behavioral intention in different periods before,during,and after the Winter Olympics under theory of planned behavior.Based on Study 1,Study 2 integrated the theoretical perspective of recreation specialization to segment the market of skiing tourists in the post-Winter Olympics period,and further compared the differences in ski touring behavioral intentions among different segmented market groups.It was found that compared to subjective norms and perceived behavioral control,skiing tourists'behavioral attitude was a more critical factor that positively affects their behavioral intention,which was more prominent in the post-Winter Olympics period.Based on the three sub-dimensions of recreation specialization(cognitive,affective,and behavioral),skiing tourists in the post-Winter Olympics period could be effectively subdivided;skiing tourists with different levels of recreation specialization had significant differences in ski touring behavioral intention.Accordingly,this study constructed a more comprehensive predictive analysis channel for individual skiing tourists'behavior,and put forward measures to promote the high-quality development of China's ski tourism industry.By encouraging universal participation,guaranteeing the supply of activities,carrying out differentiated operations to achieve precise outreach,stimulating the internal drive to improve the"quality"and"quantity"of participation,the ski tourism industry could become an emerging driving force for expanding domestic demand,promoting consumption and stabilizing growth,and realize the goal of sustainable development of the ice and snow sports.Thus,the aim of sustainable development of the ice and snow sports could be realized.

post-Winter Olympics periodski tourism industrytheory of planned behaviorbehavioral intentionrecreation specializationmarket segmentation

李树旺、李京律、杨抒奕、梁媛

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中国人民大学 体育部,北京 100872

中国人民大学 人文北京(人文奥运)研究中心,北京 100872

中国人民大学 体育产业研究院(正定),河北 正定 050800

中国人民大学 公共管理学院,北京 100872

北京师范大学 体育与运动学院,北京 100875

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后冬奥时期 滑雪旅游产业 计划行为理论 行为意向 游憩专业化 市场细分

北京市社会科学基金

19JDYTB008

2024

武汉体育学院学报
武汉体育学院

武汉体育学院学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.384
ISSN:1000-520X
年,卷(期):2024.58(1)
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