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物流业对区域经济增长的影响研究

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进入21世纪以来,我国社会经济持续稳定发展,物流业的发展水平已经对地区经济发展产生重要的影响。文中结合甘肃省物流业和经济发展的相关数据,建立以物流业中货运量、货运周转量、公路里程、铁路里程为自变量,以地区经济生产总值为因变量的Logistic函数模型,并进行边际、弹性、拐点分析。研究表明,甘肃省货运量每增加一万吨,GDP会相应增加0。104亿元;当甘肃省货运量增长1%时,GDP将增加0。88%;2020年甘肃省货运量已经超过了拐点值,经济增长的速率会随着货运量的增加逐渐下降。最后,对甘肃省物流业的发展提出建议,使其更好地促进区域经济增长。
Research on the Impact of Logistics Industry on Regional Economic Growth
Since entering the 21st century,China's social and economic development has been sustained and stable,and the development level of the logistics industry has had a significant impact on regional economic development.This article combines relevant data on the logistics industry and economic development in Gansu Province to establish a Logistic function model with freight volume,freight turnover,highway mileage,and railway mileage as independent variables and the total value of regional economic production as dependent variable in which the marginal,elastic,and inflection point analyses are conducted.The study shows that for every 10000 tons increase in freight volume in Gansu Province,the GDP will correspondingly increase by 10.4 million yuan;when the freight volume in Gansu Province increases by 1%,the GDP will increase by 0.88%;in 2020,the freight volume in Gansu Province has exceeded the inflection point,and the rate of economic growth will gradually decrease with the increase of freight volume.Finally,suggestions for the development of logistics industry in Gansu Province are proposed to better promote the regional economic development.

logistics industryregional economylogistic functionvolume of freight transport

李茂林

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兰州交通大学 交通运输学院,甘肃 兰州 730070

物流业 区域经济 Logistic函数 货运量

2024

物流工程与管理
中国仓储协会 全国商品养护科技情报中心站

物流工程与管理

影响因子:0.412
ISSN:1674-4993
年,卷(期):2024.46(1)
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