Research on Cold Chain Logistics Demand Prediction in Gansu Province Based on GM(1,1)Model
With the improvement demand from residents for the quality of fresh agricultural products,the cold chain logistics industry urgently needs to further develop towards high standards and strict requirements.Therefore,accurate prediction of cold chain logistics demand for fresh agricultural products has become more important in practical significance.The product of per capita consumption of fresh agricultural products and the number of permanent residents in Gansu Province was taken as the demand for cold chain logistics in Gansu Province.The GM(1,1)model was used to forecast the demand for cold chain logistics in Gansu Province from 2012 to 2031.Through development coefficient test,residual test and posterior error test,the model was verified to have high prediction accuracy and was suitable for medium and long-term prediction.It can effectively predict the development trend of cold chain logistics demand in Gansu Province and provide reference basis for subsequent planning of cold chain logistics facilities,cold storage construction,and transportation equipment configuration in Gansu Province.
GM(1,1)modelcold chain logistics demandGansu Province
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
