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场景驱动的城市轨道交通运营调度应急处置评价模型及应用

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为了提高城市轨道交通运营调度的应急处置能力,体现城市轨道交通运营调度处置水平评价的科学性,在应急处置过程中深入贯彻"安全、高效、有序、畅通"目标,需要在突发事件场景下,构建城市轨道交通运营调度应急处置评价指标体系。文中首先运用多案例分析法对城市轨道交通运营突发事件不同场景进行分析,面对现场应急处置的实际需求,基于规章制度及业务流程,确定运营调度应急处置评价指标。然后针对不同事件场景的应急处置业务要求、现场处置作业复杂度,运用层次分析法-熵权法相结合的综合集成赋权法计算不同场景下各评价指标的重要度。最后对调度应急处置评价指标体系进行案例应用验证与分析。文中基于不同应急处置场景,构建了包含三个维度、9 个一级指标以及21 个二级指标的城市轨道交通运营调度应急处置评价模型。研究结果表明,不同场景下各评价指标反映运营调度应急处置能力的重要度不同,通过案例分析可验证应急处置评价模型在实际应用中的可行性与适用性。
Scenario-driven Evaluation Model and Application of Emergency Response for Operation Dispatch in Urban Rail Transit
To enhance the emergency response capabilities of urban rail transit operations and dispatching,demonstrate the scientific nature of evaluating urban rail transit operations and dispatching emergency response levels,and fully implement the objectives of"safety,efficiency,orderliness and smoothness"during emergency response,it is necessary to establish an evaluation index system for urban rail transit operations and dispatching emergency response under sudden incident scenarios.Firstly,the multi-case analysis method is used to analyze different scenarios of urban rail transit operation emergencies,facing the actual needs of on-site emergency response,and based on rules,regulations and business processes,determine the evaluation indicators for operations and dispatching emergency response.Secondly,according to the business requirements for emergency response under different incident scenarios and the complexity of on-site disposal operations,the combined weight calculation method of analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method is used to calculate the importance of each evaluation indicator under different scenarios.Finally,the dispatching emergency response evaluation index system with case studies is verified and analyzed.Based on different emergency response scenarios,an evaluation model for urban rail transit operation dispatching emergency response was constructed,including 3 first-level indicators,9 second-level indicators and 21 third-level indicators.The results show that the importance of each evaluation indicator in reflecting the emergency response capabilities of operation dispatching differs under different scenarios.Case analysis verifies the feasibility and applicability of the emergency response evaluation model in practical applications.

urban rail transitscenario-drivendispatching emergency responseevaluation systemcombined weight process

郭晓晓、李颖峰、刘志钢、朱琳、曹耘文

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上海工程技术大学 城市轨道交通学院,上海 201620

上海申通地铁集团,上海 200030

城市轨道交通 场景驱动 调度应急处置 评价体系 组合赋权

2024

物流工程与管理
中国仓储协会 全国商品养护科技情报中心站

物流工程与管理

影响因子:0.412
ISSN:1674-4993
年,卷(期):2024.46(4)
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