Research on Demand Prediction of Fruit Cold Chain Logistics in Guangxi Based on Grey Theory
In the context of the new development pattern,fruit cold chain logistics is of great significance to release the consumption potential of residents.On the basis of analyzing the development status of fruits in Guangxi,firstly,the grey GM(1,1)model was used to predict the demand for fruit cold chain logistics in Guangxi.Secondly,the influencing indicators of the demand for fruit cold chain logistics in Guangxi were designed,16 of which were selected from the five perspectives of economic development level,supply and demand level,transportation development level,Internet development level and express delivery industry development level to construct the index system of influencing factors,and the grey correlation analysis was used to research the correlation between each influencing factor and the demand for fruit cold chain logistics in Guangxi.The empirical results show that:①the market demand of cold chain logistics in Guangxi will still show an obvious upward trend in the next five years;②the growth value of the tertiary industry is the key factor that has the greatest impact on the demand for fruit cold chain logistics in Guangxi.According to this paper,the following three suggestions are put forward:①improve the construction of cold chain logistics nodes;②improve the technical level of cold chain logistics;③improve the understanding of the complexity of different fruit cold chains,so as to promote the high-quality development of fruit cold chain logistics in Guangxi.
grey correlation analysisgrey GM(1,1)modeldemand predictioncoldchain logisticsGuangxi fruit
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
