皖南医学院学报2024,Vol.43Issue(3) :262-266.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0217.2024.03.015

超声联合外周血炎症指标列线图预测肾透明细胞癌WHO/ISUP分级

Predicting WHO/ISUP classification of clear cell renal cell carcinoma by ultrasound plus a nomogram based on peripheral blood inflammatory indicators

许导靖 张虎 徐家军 袁娜 鲍子超 王家伟 汪珺莉
皖南医学院学报2024,Vol.43Issue(3) :262-266.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0217.2024.03.015

超声联合外周血炎症指标列线图预测肾透明细胞癌WHO/ISUP分级

Predicting WHO/ISUP classification of clear cell renal cell carcinoma by ultrasound plus a nomogram based on peripheral blood inflammatory indicators

许导靖 1张虎 2徐家军 2袁娜 3鲍子超 4王家伟 5汪珺莉1
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作者信息

  • 1. 芜湖市第二人民医院 超声医学科,安徽 芜湖 241000
  • 2. 芜湖市第二人民医院 医学影像科,安徽 芜湖 241000
  • 3. 芜湖市第二人民医院 病理科,安徽 芜湖 241000
  • 4. 芜湖市第二人民医院 检验科,安徽 芜湖 241000
  • 5. 芜湖市第二人民医院 泌尿外科,安徽 芜湖 241000
  • 折叠

摘要

目的:探讨超声联合外周血炎症指标预测肾透明细胞癌(ccRCC)世界卫生组织(WHO)/国际泌尿病理学会(ISUP)分级的价值.方法:收集芜湖市第二人民医院经手术病理证实的93 例ccRCC患者超声和临床资料,根据WHO/ISUP分级分为高级别组(25 例)和低级别组(68 例).单因素分析及多因素Logistic回归分析筛选预测ccRCC WHO/ISUP分级的独立影响因素,并构建联合预测模型,以列线图展示,校准曲线评估模型的校准度,5 折交叉验证评估模型的稳定性,决策曲线(DCA)评估模型的临床净获益.结果:单因素分析和多因素Logistic回归分析筛选出最大径、血流丰富、血小板淋巴细胞比值(PLR)为预测ccRCC WHO/ISUP分级的独立影响因素(P<0.05);列线图的AUC为0.925(0.868~0.982),预测效能优于各单变量(P<0.05).5 折交叉验证AUC为0.941,与列线图基本符合,具有临床获益.结论:超声联合外周血炎症指标构建的预测模型可有效预测ccRCC WHO/ISUP分级,基于此构建的列线图能将预测结果可视化.

Abstract

Objective:To assess the value of ultrasound combined with peripheral blood inflammation indicators in predicting the WHO/ISUP classification of clear cell renal cell carcinoma(ccRCC).Methods:Ultrasound and clinical data were collected from 93 ccRCC patients confirmed by surgical pathology in our hospital,and these cases were divided into a high-grade group(n=25)and a low-grade group(n=68)according to WHO/ISUP grading.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to screen for independent influencing factors predicting WHO/ISUP classification of ccRCC.A joint prediction model was then developed and presented in the form of nomogram.Its calibration,stability and net clinical benefit were evaluated with calibration curve,5-fold cross-validation and decision curve analysis(DCA)respectively.Results:According to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis,maximum diameter,abundant blood flow and platelet lymphocyte ratio(PLR)were identified as independent influencing factors for predicting the WHO/ISUP classification of ccRCC.(all P<0.05).The nomogram had an AUC of 0.925(0.868 to 0.982),with better predictive efficacy than each single variable(all P<0.05).The AUC of 5-fold cross-validation was 0.941,which was generally consistent with the nomogram and had clinical benefit.Conclusion:The prediction model constructed by ultrasound findings combined with peripheral blood inflammation indicators can effectively predict ccRCC WHO/ISUP classification,and the nomogram can visualize the prediction findings.

关键词

超声检查/炎症指标/列线图/肾透明细胞癌/病理分级

Key words

ultrasonography/inflammatory indicator/nomogram/clear cell renal cell carcinoma/pathological classification

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基金项目

安徽省卫生健康委自然科学研究项目(AHWJ2022b100)

出版年

2024
皖南医学院学报
皖南医学院

皖南医学院学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.695
ISSN:1002-0217
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