首页|基于事故树与直觉模糊集的10kV配电网互联安全状态模糊综合评价模型

基于事故树与直觉模糊集的10kV配电网互联安全状态模糊综合评价模型

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由于自然故障或网络攻击导致的信息失效事件频发,10 kV配电网互联安全状态存在评价结果偏差较大的问题,对此,研究基于事故树与直觉模糊集的10 kV配电网互联安全状态模糊综合评价模型.通过直觉模糊集,处理10 kV配电网基础数据,建立事件上下位关系类型,定义配电网中不确定性的运行状态.分析配电网运行流程,结合供电能力和运行水平,选择综合性评价指标,设置安全评价规则,构建模糊评价指标体系.基于事故树计算评价指标重要度,按照基本事件的安全影响程度,构建配电网互联安全状态评价模型.实验结果表明,在不同类型供电分区10 kV配电网可靠性评估中,当应用所提模型后,能够真实反映O、P、Q 3个分区的可靠性隶属度,与配电网的真实运行情况相符合,能够真实地反映配电网运行情况,当发生问题时能够及时跟踪,缓解信息失效问题.
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Safety State of 10 kV Distribution Network Interconnection Based on Fault Tree and Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set
Information failure events caused by natural faults or network attacks occur frequently,and there is a problem of large deviation in the evaluation results of 10 kV distribution network interconnection safety state.Therefore,a fuzzy compre-hensive evaluation model of 10 kV distribution network interconnection safety state based on fault tree and intuitionistic fuzzy set is studied.Based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets,the basic data of 10 kV distribution network is processed,the type of event hi-erarchy is established,and the uncertain operation state of distribution network is defined.This paper analyzes the operation process of distribution network,selects comprehensive evaluation indicators,sets safety evaluation rules,and builds a fuzzy e-valuation index system based on the power supply capacity and operation level.Based on the importance degree of the evaluation index calculated by the fault tree,and according to the safety impact degree of the basic events,the distribution network inter-connection safety state evaluation model is constructed.The experimental results show that,in the reliability evaluation of 10 kV distribution network in different types of power supply zones,when the proposed model is applied,the reliability member-ship degree of O,P and Q zones can be truly reflected,which is consistent with the actual operation conditions of the distribu-tion network,and can truly reflect the operation conditions of the distribution network.When problems occur,timely tracking can be achieved to alleviate the problem of information failure.

fault treeintuitionistic fuzzy set10 kV distribution networksafety statereliability membership degree

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国网湖北省电力有限公司武汉供电公司,湖北,武汉 430061

事故树 直觉模糊集 10kV配电网 安全状态 可靠性隶属度

2024

微型电脑应用
上海市微型电脑应用学会

微型电脑应用

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.359
ISSN:1007-757X
年,卷(期):2024.40(11)