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面向环境保护的黄河流域现代产业体系发展评估及空间格局分析

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实现黄河流域高质量发展,必须实现产业体系的高质量发展,关键是要构建面向环境保护的黄河流域特色优势现代产业体系.本文在梳理现代产业体系内涵的基础上,构建了包括产业结构协调化、产业发展集聚化、产业竞争力高端化、环境友好化的现代产业体系评估框架,运用模糊物元分析法对黄河流域现代产业体系发展指数进行综合评估,并通过莫兰指数分析其空间格局演化趋势.结果表明:①2010-2020年间,黄河流域现代产业体系发展指数呈波动性增长态势,上、中、下游之间分异特征显著;②从全局上看,黄河流域现代产业体系发展指数具有明显的空间 自相关性,呈现较强的空间集聚效应,且波动上升;③从局部上看,黄河流域现代产业体系空间分布格局较为稳定,观察期内未发生象限跃迁,存在显著的空间依赖关系.建议各省加强环境治理,重点推进中下游现代产业体系发展,并加强区域间协同合作发展.
Evaluation of modern industries development and its spatial pattern in the Yellow River Basin oriented for environmental protection
To achieve the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin,it is necessary to realize the high-quality development of the industrial system,and the key is to build a modern in-dustrial system with distinctive advantages oriented to environmental protection.In this paper,based on the connotation of modern industries,an evaluation framework of development level of modern industries is constructed,considering industrial structure harmonization,industry ag-glomeration,industry competitiveness and environmental friendliness.Then,the fuzzy matter-element analysis method is employed to evaluate the development index for modern industries in Yellow River Basin,with Moran's I index analyzed to explore its spatial evolution pattern.The results indicate that:①from 2010 to 2020,the development index for modern industries in the Yellow River Basin shows a trend of fluctuation growth,but there is a significant differentiation among the upper,middle and lower watersheds;② From the overall point of view,the index for modern industries development in Yellow River Basin have an obvious spatial autocorrelation,showing strong spatial agglomeration and rising with fluctuation;③From the local point of view,the spatial distribution of modern industries in Yellow River Basin is relatively stable;there is no quadrant transition during the observed period;there is a significant spatial dependence relation-ship.It is suggested to enhance environmental governance in provinces,focus on the modern in-dustrial system development in the middle and downstream,and strengthen inter-regional coordi-nation and cooperation for development.

modern industriesenvironmental protectionhigh-quality developmentfuzzy matter-element analysisYellow River Basin

薛伟贤、石涵予、李彤

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西安理工大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安 710054

现代产业体系 环境保护 高质量发展 模糊物元分析 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金资助项目陕西省哲学社会科学基金项目陕西省自然科学基金重点项目教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目

722731032021D0302022JZ-4120YJC790112

2024

西安理工大学学报
西安理工大学

西安理工大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.382
ISSN:1006-4710
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)