Deductive Analysis Method of Photovoltaic Power Installed Capacity Based on System Dynamics Model
Regarding to the impact of different factors such as policies,markets,and technologies on the development of photovoltaic power installed capacity,a deductive analysis method based on system dynamics model is proposed.Firstly,considering the impact of accommodation capacity of power system on photovoltaic power installed capacity,the deduction analysis model of photovoltaic power generation installed capacity is established.Then,the causal feedback relationship of key influencing factors is characterized by using system dynamics model and the causal loop diagram is given.Finally,the expressions of the system dynamics module are set up.Simulation results show that the proposed model can quantitatively analyze the dynamic regulatory effect of key influencing factors,and accurately reflect the development trend of photovoltaic power.
photovoltaic power installed capacitysystem dynamicsaccommodation capacitydeductive analysis
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