首页|数字贸易引领制造业高质量发展的逻辑与对策——基于长三角视角的验证

数字贸易引领制造业高质量发展的逻辑与对策——基于长三角视角的验证

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为探究数字贸易影响制造业高质量发展的效应方向和路径选择等问题,以2010-2022 年长三角41 个地级市为样本,基于多维度综合评价指标体系,利用熵值法测度长三角城市数字贸易和制造业高质量发展水平,借助双向固定效应模型分析数字贸易是如何通过新旧动能转换和消费升级提高制造业发展质量的,并通过更换测度方法和回归模型、滞后变量、变更样本、分维度回归、工具变量法和高维固定效应法等验证了结论的稳健性,再利用多期双重差分法就"跨境电商试点"对制造业高质量发展的政策效应进行验证.研究发现,数字贸易能够显著促进制造业高质量发展,产业结构升级效应、技术创新效应和人力资本提升效应是数字贸易对制造业发展产生正向影响的主要路径;同时,跨境电商的设立能够显著促进制造业高质量发展,且该效应具有边际递增特征.研究表明,长三角地区应当加强创新协作,合力突破关键共性技术,并完善数字基础设施,弥合区域差距,在不断深化数字贸易与制造业融合的过程中实现制造业高质量发展.
The logic and countermeasures of digital trade leading the high-quality development of manufacturing industry——Verification from the perspective of the Yangtze River Delta
This study investigates the direction and pathways through which digital trade influences the high-quality development of the manufacturing sector,using 41 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta as samples from 2010 to 2022.Employing a multi-dimensional comprehensive evaluation index system,the entropy method was applied to assess the levels of high-quality development in both digital trade and the manufacturing sector within these cities.A two-way fixed effect model was then used to analyze how digital trade enhances the quality of manufacturing development through the transformation of new and old growth drivers and consumption upgrading.The robustness of these findings was confirmed by varying measurement methods and regression models,using lagged variables,changing sample groups,performing dimensional regression,and applying the instrumental variable method and high-dimensional fixed effect method.Additionally,a multi-period difference-in-differences approach was employed to examine the policy impact of the"cross-border e-commerce pilot"on manufacturing's high-quality development.The study reveals that digital trade significantly fosters the high-quality development of the manufacturing sector.The primary channels through which digital trade positively impacts manufacturing include the industrial structure upgrading effect,technological innovation effect,and human capital improvement effect.Moreover,the establishment of cross-border e-commerce notably promotes high-quality manufacturing development,with this effect exhibiting marginal growth over time.The findings suggest that the Yangtze River Delta region should enhance collaborative innovation,jointly address critical shared technological challenges,and advance digital infrastructure to bridge regional disparities,thereby achieving high-quality manufacturing development through the constant integration of digital trade with the manufacturing sector.

digital trademanufacturinghigh-quality developmentYangtze River Deltacross-border e-commerce

金泽虎、李鑫锐

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安徽大学 经济学院,安徽 合肥 230601

数字贸易 制造业 高质量发展 长三角 跨境电商

2024

长安大学学报(社会科学版)
长安大学

长安大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.261
ISSN:1671-6248
年,卷(期):2024.26(6)