首页|全球数字鸿沟下的福利分化研究——来自跨国面板数据的实证检验

全球数字鸿沟下的福利分化研究——来自跨国面板数据的实证检验

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自第四次技术革命以来,数字经济的迅速发展对经济社会产生了深远影响,特别是对福利水平的影响日益显著.本文利用联合国人类发展指数和全球149个国家和地区2007-2017年的跨国面板数据,采用广义倾向得分匹配模型(GPSM)深入探讨了数字鸿沟与福利差距的关系.总体而言,数字鸿沟导致了全球福利不平衡问题,两国间福利差距随"接入沟"的扩大而扩大,当"接入沟"最大时,两国的福利差距达到2.32倍;"使用沟"对福利差距的影响呈N型变化,即先增大后减小再增大的趋势.机制分析表明,数字鸿沟通过健康效应和技能效应两种主要途径影响福利差距,其中健康效应和技能效应共同导致福利差距随"接入沟"的扩大而扩大,技能效应则是导致国家间福利差距随"使用沟"扩大而呈现N型变动趋势的主要原因.考虑到不同国家间的发展水平差异,本文还进行了异质性分析,发现两国间收入差距越大,数字鸿沟对福利差距的影响越强.近年来,数字鸿沟在新型数字技术方面表现突出,本文基于工业机器人数据探究新型数字技术鸿沟与福利差距的关系,发现福利差距与机器人数量差距显著正相关.本文明确了数字经济在社会福利共享中的角色,从全球层面分析数字鸿沟对福利差距的影响,可以为推动全球数字包容、促进福利共享提供针对性建议.
Research on Welfare Disparities under the Global Digital Divide:Empirical Testing from Cross-border Panel Data
Since the onset of the fourth technological revolution,the rapid evolvement of the digital economy has exerted a significant impact on both the economy and society,particularly the increasingly significant impact on welfare levels.This paper utilizes the United Nations Human Development Index in conjunction with cross-country panel data spanning from 2007 to 2017 for 149 countries and regions.The generalized Propensity Score Matching model(GPSM)is used to delve deeply into the relationship between the digital divide and welfare gap.Overall,the digital divide contributes to global welfare imbalance.The welfare gap between countries expands as the"access gap"widens,culminating in a 2.32-fold difference when the"access gap"reaches its maximum extent.The impact of the"use gap"on the welfare chasm exhibits an N-shaped trend,which first increases,then decreases,and then increases again.Mechanism analysis elucidates that the digital divide influences the welfare gap through both the health effect and the skill effect,contributing to a widening of the welfare gap as the access gap expands.The skill effect is identified as the primary driver behind the N-shaped trend in the welfare gap as the"use gap"widens.Accounting for the developmental disparities among various countries,this paper conducts heterogeneity analysis and finds that the larger the income gap between the two countries,the stronger the impact of the digital divide on welfare disparities.In recent years,the digital divide has become increasingly salient in the realm of new digital technologies.This paper explores the relationship between the new digital technology gap and the welfare gap based on industrial robot data,and finds that the welfare gap is significantly positively correlated with the gap in robot quantity.By elucidating the role of the digital economy in the equitable social welfare and analyzing the repercussions of the digital divide on the welfare gap at a global level,this paper offers targeted recommendations for advancing global digital inclusion and welfare equity.

access gapuse gapwelfare disparitieshealth disparitiesskill disparities

谢建国、薛天怡、洪小羽

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南京大学商学院,江苏南京 210093

接入沟 使用沟 福利差距 健康差距 技能差距

国家自然科学基金教育部人文社会科学研究项目

7207306220YJA790074

2024

现代财经-天津财经大学学报
天津财经大学

现代财经-天津财经大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.758
ISSN:1005-1007
年,卷(期):2024.44(6)
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