首页|电子商务发展推动了县域服务业集聚吗?——来自电子商务进农村综合示范政策的实证检验

电子商务发展推动了县域服务业集聚吗?——来自电子商务进农村综合示范政策的实证检验

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基于电子商务对县域服务业集聚的影响视角,本文采用2010-2019年中国2 531个县域数据,以电子商务进农村综合示范政策为"准自然实验",运用渐进双重差分方法(DID)检验电子商务发展对县域服务业集聚的影响效应与作用机制.研究发现:电子商务发展对县域服务业集聚具有显著促进作用,经过一系列稳健性检验后,结论依然成立;机制分析表明,电子商务发展主要通过数字基础设施建设溢出效应、要素配置效应、平台效应、人力资本积累效应和市场规模效应推动了县域服务业集聚;异质性分析表明,相对于西部地区和贫困县而言,东中部地区和非贫困县的电子商务发展对服务业集聚的促进作用更显著.本研究为县域把握数字经济发展机遇,推动农村电商高质量发展,助力县域产业结构优化,提供了政策启示.
Has the Development of E-commerce Driven the Agglomeration of County-level Service Industries?Empirical Testing of the Comprehensive Demonstration Policy of E-commerce Entering Rural Areas
From the prespective of the impact of E-commerce on the agglomeration of county-level service industries,this paper uses data from 2531 counties in China from 2010 to 2019,takes the comprehensive demonstration policy of E-commerce in rural areas as a"quasi-natural experiment"and employs progressive double difference method to evaluate the impact and mechanism of E-commerce development on the agglomeration of county-level service industries.Research has found that the development of E-commerce has a significant positive effect on the agglomeration of county-level service industries.After a series of robust tests,the conclusion is still valid.Mechanism analysis shows that the development of E-commerce mainly promotes the agglomeration of county-level service industry,through the effects of digital infrastructure construction,factor allocation,platform,human capital accumulation,and market size.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that compared to the western region and poor counties,the positive effect of E-commerce development on the agglomeration of service industries is more significant in the eastern and central regions and non-poor counties.This study provides policy implications for seizing the opportunities of digital economic development,promoting the high-quality development of rural E-commerce,supporting the optimization of county-level industrial structure.

E-commerceservice industry agglomerationprogressive double difference methodcounty economy

李荣华、李想、鲁玉秀

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河南师范大学商学院,河南新乡 453007

电子商务 服务业集聚 渐进双重差分方法(DID) 县域经济

国家自然科学基金项目

20BJL134

2024

现代财经-天津财经大学学报
天津财经大学

现代财经-天津财经大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.758
ISSN:1005-1007
年,卷(期):2024.44(7)
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