首页|基于空间计量模型的城市用地结构与空气质量关联性研究——以粤闽浙三省市县为例

基于空间计量模型的城市用地结构与空气质量关联性研究——以粤闽浙三省市县为例

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文章以粤闽浙三省204个市县为例,利用探索性空间数据分析方法揭示空气质量指数(AQI)时空分布特征,应用空间计量模型探讨自然环境、社会经济和城市形态等因素对空气质量的影响.结果表明:(1)粤闽浙三省年空气质量指数在空间上呈现"北高南低"的特点,空气污染热点主要集中在浙江省北部、中部及东部沿海地区,空气质量较好的冷点主要在福建省东北部.(2)季节尺度上,AQI呈现"春冬高、夏秋低"的季节变化特征.(3)回归模型显示:城市用地结构越均衡越能显著改善空气质量;城市绿化覆盖率对空气质量改善作用不明显;城市化水平越高的市、县,空气质量越容易得到改善,且城市空气质量改善效应优于县城地区;第二产业生产总值占比、交通因子、建成区用地规模对空气质量产生消极影响;夏季高温将加剧空气污染;年最高温平均值、年降水总量、植被覆盖指数对空气质量有改善作用.
Study on the Correlation Relationship Between Land Use Structure and Air Quality Based on Spatial Econometric Models:A Case Study of Cities and Counties in Guangdong,Fujian and Zhejiang Provinces
The study,focusing on 204 cities and counties in Guangdong,Fujian,and Zhejiang provinces,utilizes exploratory spatial data analysis methods to reveal the temporal and spatial distribution of air quality index(AQI).A spatial econometrics model is applied to explore the impact of natural environments,socio-economic factors,and urban form on air quality.Key findings include:(1)A north-high and south-low spatial pattern in annual AQI,with pollution hotspots mainly in northern,central,and eastern coastal areas of Zhejiang,and cleaner air mainly in northeastern Fujian.(2)Seasonally,AQI is higher in spring and winter,lower in summer and autumn.(3)The regression model shows balanced urban land use improves air quality;urban green coverage has a negligible effect;higher urbanization levels correlate with better air quality,particularly in cities compared to towns;the proportion of secondary industry,traffic factors,and built-up land use negatively impact air quality;high summer temperatures exacerbate pollution;annual maximum temperature average,annual precipitation,and vegetation coverage index improve air quality.

air quality index(AQI)spatial and temporal characteristicsland use mixspatial lag model(SLM)city-county space

张虹、李超骕、曾献君

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福建理工大学建筑与城乡规划学院

澳门城市大学创新设计学院

香港科技大学(广州)

香港科技大学公共政策学部联署

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空气质量指数 时空特征 土地利用混合度 空间滞后模型(SLM) 市县空间

福建省自然科学基金一般项目(2021)福建省社会科学规划青年项目(2019)

2021J011072FJ2019C009

2024

现代城市研究
南京城市科学研究会

现代城市研究

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.922
ISSN:1009-6000
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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