首页|The Taiwan Policy Gap between the Two Main US Political Parties and Its Implications
The Taiwan Policy Gap between the Two Main US Political Parties and Its Implications
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In the context of the whole-of-government strategic approach the United States(US)currently applies toward China,the Democratic and Republican parties have reached a consensus on"using Taiwan to contain China,"compromising the integrity of the one-China policy and seriously eroding the political foundations of China-US relations.However,considerable differences persist between the two parties regarding Taiwan policy.The Republicans,as represented by Donald Trump,have appeared more radical and more straightforward,whereas the incumbent Biden administration of the Democratic Party has shown significant duplicity.Democrats in the US Congress have introduced relatively fewer Taiwan-related bills than their Republican counterparts;by comparison,some Republican lawmakers have even introduced resolutions calling for resuming"diplomatic ties"with Taiwan.The Taiwan policy gap between the Democratic and Republican parties mirrors their differences on China policy:liberal think tanks advocate for"strategic ambiguity"on Taiwan,but conservatives back"strategic clarity."And the gap also reflects the shifting lobbying priorities of Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party.Looking ahead to the upcoming decade,the Democratic and Republican parties will continue to compete to"support Taiwan,"thus rendering the Taiwan question even more dangerous.After 2024,if Democrats remain in power,they may hasten the"internationalization"of the Taiwan question;otherwise,if Republicans return to the White House and both chambers of Congress,China and the US may find their relationship even more confrontational.Although the political situation in Taiwan will very unlikely have any fundamental impact on the Taiwan Strait,it will,to a certain extent,influence the intensity of China-US rivalry.
Democratic PartyRepublican PartyTaiwan questionUnited States
Zhang Wenzong、Chang Fangyu
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Institute of American Studies,China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations
School of International Politics and Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
key project supported by the National Social Science Fund of China in 2022