资源禀赋差异地区绿氢替代灰氢潜力分析
Potential for green hydrogen to replace gray hydrogen in various places while considering the difference of resource endowment
时伟 1伍飞 1张珂 1赵晓丽 2张荣达 2张杨光1
作者信息
- 1. 国网安徽电力有限公司,安徽 合肥 230061
- 2. 中国石油大学(北京) 经济管理学院,北京 102249;中国石油大学(北京) 低碳经济与政策研究中心,北京 102249
- 折叠
摘要
为推动中国氢能产业绿色化发展,研究如何促进可再生能源电解水制氢(绿氢)代替化石能源制氢具有重要现实意义.通过卫星遥感数据获取中国各个省份的可再生资源禀赋氢,并在考虑可再生能源波动情况下构建了可再生能源电解水制氢仿真模型,可以探究各个省份可再生能源电解水制氢成本.最终与当地煤制氢成本做比较,在考虑技术进步以及不同碳交易价格水平下分析了中国未来各个时间节点绿氢对灰氢的替代潜力,并给出我国未来应如何发展绿氢的建议.
Abstract
Studying how to promote the substitution of fossil fuel-based hydrogen production with renewable energy-driven water electrolysis hydrogen production(green hydrogen)is of significant practical importance for driving the green development of China's hydrogen energy industry.Through utilizing satellite remote sensing data to assess the renewable resource potential of various provinces in China and constructing a simulation model for renewable energy-driven water electrolysis hydrogen production under considering the fluctuation of renewable energy sources,it becomes possible to explore the cost of water electrolysis hydrogen production by renewable energy sources in different provinces,which is compared with the local cost of coal-based hydrogen production.Under the premise of considering technological advancements and different levels of carbon trading prices,the potential for green hydrogen to replace grey hydrogen in different time periods in China is analyzed,and some insights into how China should develop green hydrogen in the future are suggested.
关键词
绿氢/灰氢/蓝氢/可再生能源发电/资源禀赋Key words
green hydrogen/gray hydrogen/blue hydrogen/renewable energy power generation/resource endowment引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71934006)
国家社会科学基金资助项目(22&ZD103)
国家电网公司管理咨询项目(81120021N003)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据