基于不确定性的机坪管制系统风险评估
Risk assessment of apron control system based on uncertainty
廖勇 1黄杰 1方娜 1赵一阳1
作者信息
- 1. 中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院,广汉 618300
- 折叠
摘要
对机坪管制系统进行风险评估是提高机场安全水平的一个重要措施,但如何科学客观地评价机坪管制系统,得到贴近现实的评估结果是一个难题.基于此,建立了机坪管制系统风险评价体系,从组合权重法的观点出发,通过乘法归一化合成评价权重,并在模糊集理论的基础上引入DS证据论对某机场机坪管制系统进行实例评估,得出人员因素是机坪管制系统安全体系的重点这一结论,对机坪管制系统安全改进有较好的指导意义.
Abstract
Risk assessment of ramp control system is an important measure to improve airport safety level,but how to evaluate ramp control system scientifically and objectively and get the assessment results close to reality is a difficult problem.Based on this,a risk assessment system for apron control system was established.From the perspective of combined weight method,the evalu-ation weights were combined by multiplication and normalization,and DS evidence theory was introduced to evaluate the apron con-trol system of an airport on the basis of fuzzy set theory,and a conclusion was drawn that personnel factors are the focus of the apron control system safety system.It has a good guiding significance for the safety improvement of apron control system.
关键词
机坪管制/组合权重法/不确定性/隶属度函数/DS证据理论/风险评估Key words
apron control/combined weight method/uncertainty/membership function/DS evidence theory/risk assessment引用本文复制引用
基金项目
四川省科技重点研发项目(2023YFG0163)
中国民航飞行学院大学生创新创业训练计划项目(S202210624129)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据