首页|医院国家自然科学基金项目获批影响因素分析及预测模型构建

医院国家自然科学基金项目获批影响因素分析及预测模型构建

Analysis of factors influencing the approval of national natural science foundation projects in hospitals and construction of prediction models

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目的 探究医院进行国家自然科学基金管理的有效策略.方法 回顾性分析某三甲综合性医院2016-2022年度国家自然科学基金项目申报和获批的情况,运用单因素分析及二分类多因素Logistic回归分析影响国家自然科学基金项目获批的因素并建立函数预测模型.结果 本研究共收集了 1 098位申请人的数据信息,其中青年项目申请人653人,获批178人;面上项目申请人445人,获批114人;多因素Logistic结果显示,在青年项目中,年龄越小、有博士学位、是科研岗位、有海外留学经历、以第一/通讯作者身份发表SCI论文平均影响因子在3~5分、以第一/通讯作者身份发表SCI论文平均影响因子在5分以上、以第一/通讯作者发表4区SCI论文、主持过国家级和院校级课题的申请人更易获批国家自然科学基金青年项目;在面上项目中,有博士学位、有海外留学经历、以第一/通讯作者发表1区和2区SCI论文、主持过国家级课题的申请人更易获批国家自然科学基金面上项目.青年项目回归预测模型AUC曲线下面积为0.860,面上项目回归预测模型AUC曲线下面积为0.838,模型的预测价值较高.结论 医院应通过强化政策引导,加大经济投入,提倡申请人进行前期工作布局,聚焦人才培养等途径,全面促进医院国家自然科学基金的有效管理.
Objective Explore effective strategies for hospitals to manage the National Natural Science Foundation of China.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the population characteristics of a certain tertiary comprehensive hospital's National Natural Science Foundation project application and approval from 2016 to 2022.Single factor analysis and bi-nary multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the factors that affect the approval of the National Natural Sci-ence Foundation project,and a function prediction model was established.Results A total of 1 098 applicants were collected in this study,including 653 young project applicants and 178 approved,445 general project applicants and 114 approved;Multi fac-tor logistic results show that in youth programs,the younger the age,the doctor's degree,scientific research posts,the experi-ence of studying abroad,the average impact factor of publishing SCI papers as the first/corresponding author is 3-5 points Appli-cants who have published SCI papers as the first/corresponding author with an average impact factor of more than 5 points,pub-lished SCI papers in four districts as the first/corresponding author,presided over national level and academic level topics are more likely to be approved by the Youth Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China;Among general programs,applicants who have doctoral degree,overseas study experience,published Zone 1and Zone 2 SCI essays,and presided over na-tional projects as the first/corresponding author are more likely to be approved as general programs of the National Natural Science Foundation of China.The area under the AUC curve of the youth project regression prediction model is 0.860,and the area under the AUC curve of the surface project regression prediction model is 0.838.The model has high predictive value.Conclusion Hospitals should strengthen policy guidance,increase economic investment,encourage applicants to carry out preliminary work layout,focus on talent cultivation,and comprehensively promote the effective management of the National Natural Science Foun-dation of the hospital.

National natural science foundation of ChinaInfluence factorPrediction model

李日、高艳丽、曲珈锐、徐行、伦志军

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吉林大学第一医院 吉林长春 130021

国家自然科学基金 影响因素 预测模型

2024

现代医院
广东省医院协会

现代医院

影响因子:1.332
ISSN:1671-332X
年,卷(期):2024.24(6)