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中国农业农村现代化的时空格局与障碍因素分析

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农业农村现代化是中国式现代化的重要组成部分,加快推进农业农村现代化是实现农业强国目标的基础和支撑。基于 2011-2021 年中国 31 个省(区)市(除港澳台地区)的面板数据构建农业农村现代化评价指标体系,采用熵值法测度各省份的农业农村现代化水平,利用空间性探索分析中国农业农村现代化时空格局,通过障碍度模型探究农业农村现代化发展的主要障碍因素。研究表明:中国农业农村现代化水平总体呈稳步上升趋势,其中,农村生活质量现代化水平的增长贡献最大;农业农村现代化较高水平及以上地区主要分布于东部沿海一带,较低水平及以下地区主要集中于西南、西北和东北一带。此外,我国农业农村现代化水平还具有显著的空间相关性,高-高集聚由东南沿海地区向京津冀地区转移,而低-低集聚呈现出由西部向中部收缩递减的趋势。以乡镇文化站覆盖率和水土流失治理率为代表的农村治理与服务现代化是农业农村现代化发展的主要障碍源,农业土地产出率、有效灌溉面积率和农村居民可支配收入也是重要障碍因素。研究结论可为政府制定相关政策,进一步推进中国农业农村现代化提供参考。
Analysis of Agricultural and Rural Modernization Spatial-temporal Patterns and Obstacles in China
Agricultural and rural modernization is an important part of Chinese-style modernization.Accelerating agricultural and rural modernization is the foundation and support for achieving the goal of agricultural powerful country.The article constructed the evaluation index system of agricultural and rural modernization based on the panel data of 31 provinces(autonomous regions)and municipalities(except Hong Kang,Macao and Taiwan)in China from 2011 to 2021,measured the level of agricultural and rural modernization of each province by entropy method,explored the spatial-temporal patterns of agricultural and rural modernization in China by spatial exploration analysis,and analyzed the main obstacles hindering the development of agricultural and rural modernization by the obstacle degree model.The study showed that:the level of agricultural and rural modernization in China was generally on a steady upward trend,with the increase in the level of modernization of rural livelihood making the greatest contribution;the areas with high levels of agricultural and rural modernization or above were mainly distributed along the east coast,while the areas with low levels or below were mainly concentrated in the southwest,northwest and northeast areas.In addition,the level of agricultural and rural modernization in China had significant spatial correlations,with the high-high agglomeration shifting from the southeast coastal regions to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,while the low-low agglomeration shrinking and decreasing from the west to the center.The modernization of rural governance and services,represented by the coverage rate of township cultural stations and the rate of soil erosion control,was the main source of obstacles to the development of modernization of agriculture and rural areas.The rate of farmland production,the rate of effective irrigated area and the disposable income of rural residents were also important obstacles.The findings of the study can provide references for the formulation of relevant policies to further promote agriculture and rural modernization in China.

agricultural and rural modernizationevaluation measurestemporal characteristicsspatial distributionspatial agglomerationobstacles

廖选祥、李萍

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长春工业大学经济管理学院,吉林 长春 130052

农业农村现代化 评价测度 时序特征 空间分布 空间集聚 障碍因素

吉林省数字经济学会研究生项目

SZJJ2023XS013

2024

现代农业
内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院

现代农业

影响因子:0.14
ISSN:1008-0708
年,卷(期):2024.49(2)
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