Research on Carbon Emission Estimation and Influencing Factors of Inner Mongolia Animal Husbandry
Under enormous challenge of livestock environmental issues,the green circular development of animal husbandry faces numerous obstacles.Based on the logical framework of greenhouse gas emissions reduction,analyzing the calculation and influencing factors of carbon emissions in animal husbandry has great practical significance for promoting green and low-carbon development of animal husbandry and accelerating the achievement of the"dual carbon"goals.This article used the carbon emission coefficient method to calculate the carbon emissions of animal husbandry in Inner Mongolia from 1990 to 2022,and analyzed the influencing factors of animal husbandry carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia using the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC)model and the Scalable Stochastic Environmental Impact Assessment(STIRPAT)model.The results showed that:(1)The carbon emissions of animal husbandry industry in Inner Mongolia showed an overall fluctuating upward trend from 1990 to 2022,while the carbon emission intensity fluctuated downward.In the change of carbon emission structure,the proportion of livestock intestinal fermentation to total carbon emissions was 82.40%,much higher than that of fecal management,with ruminant animals such as cattle,sheep,and goats contributing the most.(2)During the observation period,the relationship between animal husbandry carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia and the level of economic development showed an N-shaped pattern.(3)The number of people engaged in animal husbandry,per capita output value of animal husbandry,carbon emission intensity,and consumption factors had significant positive correlations with carbon emissions in animal husbandry.The promotion effect of per capita output value of animal husbandry was most obvious.While urbanization rate significantly reduced carbon emissions in animal husbandry.Based on the above research results,suggestions were proposed to adjust the structure of animal husbandry,improve the level of green technology for animal husbandry,and strengthen the low-carbon environmental awareness of farmers and herdsmen.