首页|中国对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口贸易的隐含碳测算及影响因素分析

中国对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口贸易的隐含碳测算及影响因素分析

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以中国出口到哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易的隐含碳为研究对象,基于 2010-2020 年中国投入产出数据,运用投入产出法测算中国出口到哈萨克斯坦的农产品隐含碳排放量,再通过构建对数平均迪氏指数法(LMDI)分解模型,从规模、结构、技术 3 个方面分析中国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量的影响因素。研究结果表明:2010-2020 年,我国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量呈现先增后减的趋势,农林牧渔业和农副食品加工业是主要的隐含碳排放产业。规模效应是造成中国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量攀升的主要原因,结构效应对隐含碳排放有正向驱动作用但效果微弱,技术效应是降低农产品隐含碳排放的重要贡献因素。
Analysis on the Embodied Carbon Calculation and the Influencing Factors of China's Agricultural Products Export Trade to Kazakhstan
Taking the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan as the research object,based on China's input-output data from 2010 to 2020,the input-output method was used to calculate the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan.By constructing a logarithmic mean Dickson index(LMDI)decomposition model,the influencing factors of embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan were analyzed from three aspects:scale,structure,and technology.The results showed that from 2010 to 2020,the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan had a trend of first increase and then decrease,with agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery,and food processing industries being the main sectors of embodied carbon emissions.Scale effect was the main reason for the increase in embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan.Structural effect had a positive driving effect on embodied carbon emissions,but the effect was weak.Technological effect was an important contributing factor in reducing embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products.

agricultural tradetrade embodied carboninput-output methodLMDI decomposition model

魏荷、徐研

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新疆师范大学商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

丝绸之路经济带核心区产业高质量发展研究中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

农产品贸易 贸易隐含碳 投入产出法 LMDI分解模型

新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金新疆师范大学青年拔尖人才项目

21BJY065XJNUQB2023-03

2024

现代农业
内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院

现代农业

影响因子:0.14
ISSN:1008-0708
年,卷(期):2024.49(2)
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