首页|农业产业集聚对农业韧性的影响研究——基于门槛效应与空间溢出效应的分析

农业产业集聚对农业韧性的影响研究——基于门槛效应与空间溢出效应的分析

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农业韧性是影响加快实现农业农村现代化的关键因素之一,立足我国农业发展实际,探究农业产业集聚能否提升农业韧性具有重要意义.文章基于我国2011-2020年省域面板数据,采用双向固定效应模型、门槛效应模型及空间杜宾模型,分析农业产业集聚对农业韧性的影响.研究表明:农业产业集聚对农业韧性的提升具有显著促进作用,其作用效果在非粮食主产区更为明显;在研究期内,农业产业集聚主要通过提高抵御风险恢复能力以及重构创新能力来提升韧性水平.受数字普惠金融、人力资本影响,农业产业集聚对农业韧性的提升作用呈现非线性特征;进一步分析发现,农业产业集聚不仅提升本地的农业韧性水平,还能更大程度地提升邻近地区的农业韧性.因此,要鼓励各地区因地制宜、分区施策,创造有利的农业发展外部条件,促进区域协调发展,全方位、多层次地提升我国农业韧性,加快建设农业强国.
Research on the Impact of Agricultural Industrial Agglomeration on Agricultural Resilience——Based on the Threshold Effect and Spatial Spillover Effect
Improving agricultural resilience is one of the key factors to accelerate the realization of agricultural and rural modernization.This paper is based on China's provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020,this paper uses two-way fixed effect model,threshold effect model and spatial Durbin model to analyze the impact of agricultural industry agglomeration on agricultural resilience.The results show that agricultural industry agglomeration has a significant role in promoting agricultural resilience,and its effect is more obvious in non-main grain producing areas.During the study period,agricultural industrial agglomeration mainly improves the resilience level by improving the ability to resist risks and recover and reconstruct innovation.Affected by digital inclusive finance and human capital level,the promoting effect of agricultural industrial agglomeration on agricultural resilience shows nonlinear characteristics;Further analysis shows that agricultural industry agglomeration not only improves the resilience of local agriculture,but also improves the resilience of neighboring areas to a greater extent.Therefore,it is necessary to encourage all regions to adopt policies according to local conditions,create favorable external conditions for agricultural development,promote regional coordinated development,comprehensively and multi-level improve China's agricultural resilience,and accelerate the building of an agricultural power.

agricultural industrial agglomerationagricultural resiliencethreshold effectspatial spillover effect

孙培蕾、焦小玲

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新疆财经大学经济学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830012

农业产业集聚 农业韧性 门槛效应 空间溢出效应

新疆财经大学科研创新团队项目

2023XKC001

2024

现代农业
内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院

现代农业

影响因子:0.14
ISSN:1008-0708
年,卷(期):2024.49(4)