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新质生产力赋能农业经济韧性的理论机制与实证检验

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文章基于2011-2021年我国30个省区市(除去西藏自治区和港澳台地区)的面板数据为研究对象,构建综合评价指标体系,测算新质生产力与农业经济韧性水平,并通过双向固定效应模型和中介模型探讨新质生产力对农业经济韧性的影响效应及作用机制。研究结果表明:新质生产力显著提升农业经济韧性水平,且该结论在一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立。进一步分析发现,新质生产力主要借助增强农业经济的抵抗能力和重构能力来提升韧性,通过促进农村消费结构升级、提升农村居民创业活力度赋能农业经济韧性;新质生产力对粮食主产区和非粮食主产区农业经济韧性水平提升均有显著促进作用,且粮食主产区促进作用强于非粮食主产区。据此,建议营造良好的新质生产力发展环境,推动新质生产力与农业经济深度融合,制定差异化的农业发展政策,加快实现农业强国战略目标。
New Quality Productivity Enables Agricultural Economic Resilience:Theoretical Mechanisms and Empirical Testing
Based on panel data for 30 provinces in China,excluding the Xizang Autonomous Region and Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan from 2011 to 2021,this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system to measure the level of new quality productivity and agricultural economic resilience,followed by exploring the effect and mechanism of the influence of new quality productivity on the agricultural economic resilience by means of the bidirectional fixed effect model and the mediation model.The results of the study showed that new quality productivity significantly increased the level of agricultural economic resilience and the finding still holds after a series of robustness tests.Further analysis revealed that new productivity mainly enhances resilience by strengthening the resistance and recovery capabilities of the agricultural economy.In addition,it was also found that new productivity could empower the resilience of the agricultural economy by promoting the upgrading of the rural consumption structure and enhancing the entrepreneurial vitality of rural residents,which possessed a significant role in promoting the resilience of the agricultural economy in both food-producing and non-food-producing areas,with food-producing areas being stronger than non-food-producing areas.Based on these,it is suggested to create a favorable environment for the development of new quality productivity,promote deep integration of new quality productivity with the agricultural economy,formulate differentiated agricultural development policies,and accelerate the realization of the strategic goal of a strong agricultural country.

new quality productivityrural consumption structure upgradingrural entrepreneurial vitalityagricultural economy resilience

顺德日、丁继

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内蒙古师范大学经济管理学院,内蒙古呼和浩特 010022

新质生产力 农村消费结构升级 农村创业活力 农业经济韧性

2024

现代农业
内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院

现代农业

影响因子:0.14
ISSN:1008-0708
年,卷(期):2024.49(6)