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中国对外承包工程对共建"一带一路"国家产业结构升级的影响研究

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对外承包工程是中国同共建"一带一路"国家开展产能合作的重要形式.文章采用2011-2021年37个共建"一带一路"国家产业结构升级与中国对外承包工程的面板数据,实证检验中国对外承包工程对共建国家产业结构升级的影响及作用机制.研究发现:中国对外承包工程能够显著促进共建"一带一路"国家产业结构升级,但促进作用具有异质性,作用效果因国家收入水平、是否与中国签订自由贸易协定等而存在显著差异.中国对外承包工程对共建"一带一路"国家产业结构升级的促进作用存在单门槛效应,当跨过门槛值后,促进作用将会减弱.中国对外承包工程能够通过促进共建"一带一路"国家经济增长、扩大进出口贸易、吸引外商直接投资等路径,促进共建国家产业结构升级.
Research on the Impact of China's Foreign Contracted Projects on the Upgrading of Industrial Structure of Belt and Road Partner Countries
Foreign contracted projects are an important form of capacity cooperation between China and Belt and Road partner countries.Based on the panel data of industrial structure upgrading of 37 Belt and Road partner countries and China's foreign contracted projects from 2011 to 2021,this paper empirically test the role of China's foreign contracted projects in upgrading the industrial structure of Belt and Road partner countries and its specific impact mechanism.The study found that China's for-eign contracted projects can significantly promote the upgrading of industrial structure in Belt and Road partner countries.The promotion effect of China's foreign contracted projects on the upgrading of the industrial structure of Belt and Road partner countries is heterogeneous,and its impact is significantly different due to the national income level,whether to sign FTA with China,and so on.There is a single threshold effect in the role of China's foreign contracted projects in promoting the industrial structure upgrade of Belt and Road partner countries.When it crosses the threshold value,the promotion effect on the upgrad-ing of the industrial structure of Belt and Road partner countries will be weakened.In addition,China's foreign contracted proj-ects can promote the upgrading of industrial structure of Belt and Road partner countries by promoting economic growth,ex-panding import and export trade,and attracting foreign direct investment inflows.

Belt and Road partner countriesforeign contracted projectsthe upgrading of industrial structurethreshold effect

胡颖、李维

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新疆财经大学,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

共建"一带一路"国家 对外承包工程 产业结构升级 门槛效应

国家社会科学基金新疆维吾尔自治区研究生创新项目

18XGJ002XJ2023G246

2024

新疆财经
新疆财经大学

新疆财经

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.598
ISSN:1007-8576
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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