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一类具有预防意识的多斑块SEIQR传染病模型的阈值动力学研究

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结合一般传染病病毒传播的特点,提出了一类具有预防意识和斑块间流动感染的SEIQR传染病传播动力学模型.根据下一代矩阵法算出了单斑块下疾病传播的阈值Ra和两斑块下疾病传播的阈值Rφa,得到当Ra ≤ 1时单斑块下无病平衡点全局渐近稳定和Rφa≤1时两斑块下无病平衡点局部稳定的结论,数值模拟证实了理论结果.敏感性分析说明了参数对基本再生数的影响,结果表明增加人群预防意识能够抑制病毒在斑块间的传播,但群体在斑块间流动时发生感染会加剧病毒的传播.
Threshold Dynamics of a Multi-Patch SEIQR Epidemic Model with Prevention Awareness
We consider the characteristics of viral transmission of common infectious diseases,multi-patch SEIQR infectious disease transmission dynamic model with prevention awareness was proposed and studied.According to the next generation matrix method,the disease transmission threshold Ra in a single patch and the disease transmission threshold Rφa in the two patches were calculated.The theoretical results show that the disease free equilibrium in a single patch is globally asymptotically stable if Ra ≤ 1 and the disease free equilibrium in two patches are locally stable if Rφa ≤ 1.Numerical simulations confirm the theoretical results,sensitivity analysis discusses the effects of parameters to the basic regeneration number,which shows that increasing the awareness of prevention could inhibit the spread of the virus between patches,but infection during transportation can increase it.

prevention awarenesspatch modeldisease free equilibriumstability

沈鑫、刘子建

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重庆交通大学数学与统计学院,重庆 400074

预防意识 斑块模型 无病平衡点 稳定性

国家自然科学基金重庆市自然科学基金创新发展联合基金

12271068CSTB2022NSCQ-LZX0026

2024

新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)
新疆大学

新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.13
ISSN:2096-7675
年,卷(期):2024.41(2)
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