新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)2024,Vol.41Issue(4) :419-426.DOI:10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2023.11.16.0002

具有自然年龄和染病年龄的MSIR传染病模型的稳定性

The Stability of MSIR Epidemic Model with Natural Age and Infection-Age

曹志远 郭俐辉
新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)2024,Vol.41Issue(4) :419-426.DOI:10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2023.11.16.0002

具有自然年龄和染病年龄的MSIR传染病模型的稳定性

The Stability of MSIR Epidemic Model with Natural Age and Infection-Age

曹志远 1郭俐辉1
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作者信息

  • 1. 新疆大学数学与系统科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830017
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摘要

在总人口规模不变的假设下,建立一类具有自然年龄和染病年龄的MSIR传染病模型,并研究该模型平衡解的稳定性.首先,对模型做归一化处理,并在无病平衡解处线性化,证明当R1<1时,无病平衡解是局部渐近稳定的.其次,利用双曲方程组的特征线方法和Fatou引理,证明当R1<1时,无病平衡解是全局渐近稳定的.最后,利用介值定理证明当R1>1时,模型存在唯一的地方病平衡解.

Abstract

Assuming total population remains constant,this paper establishes a class of MSIR epidemic models with both natural age and infection-age and studies the stability of the equilibrium solutions of this model.Firstly,by normalizing the model and linearizing it at the disease-free equilibrium,demonstrating that when R1<1,the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable.Subsequently,employing the method of characteristics for hyperbolic systems and Fatou's lemma,it is proven that when R1<1,the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.Finally,the existence of a unique endemic equilibrium solution is established using the intermediate value theorem when R1>1.

关键词

MSIR传染病模型/染病年龄/平衡解/存在性

Key words

MSIR epidemic model/infection-age/equilibrium solution/existence

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基金项目

新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2022D01E42)

出版年

2024
新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)
新疆大学

新疆大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.13
ISSN:2096-7675
参考文献量9
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