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国际金融市场发展演进新趋势

New Trends in the Development and Evolution of International Financial Markets

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2024 年美国总统大选中特朗普再次当选,其施政方针("特朗普 2.0 版新政")将对全球经济与国际金融市场可能带来复杂且深远的影响.特朗普 2.0 版新政将延续其"美国优先"原则,主要包含对内减税、对外加税、技术出口管制、宽松货币政策、以及强硬的移民政策等多项举措.这些政策在刺激美国经济增长、就业创造以及保护国内产业的同时,也可能引发全球贸易保护主义蔓延、国际资本市场波动加剧及供应链不稳定等问题.本文结合特朗普新政的具体施策方向及其潜在影响,分析其可能导致的国际经济格局变化与全球金融市场的不确定性,展望国际金融市场在复杂多变环境下的发展演进新趋势.
In the 2024 U.S.presidential election,Donald Trump was re-elected,and his policy guidelines("Trump 2.0 New Deal")are likely to have complex and far-reaching impacts on the global economy and international financial markets.The Trump 2.0 New Deal will continue its"America First"principle,mainly encompassing measures such as domestic tax cuts,foreign tariffincreases,technology export controls,loose monetary policies,and stringent immigration policies.While these policies aim to stimulate U.S.economic growth,create jobs,and protect domestic industries,they may also trigger the proliferation of global trade protectionism,intensify fluctuations in international capital markets,and destabilize supply chains.Drawing on the specific implementation directions and potential impacts of Trump's new policies,this paper analyzes the potential shifts in the international economic landscape and uncertainties within global financial markets that may arise.Furthermore,it anticipates the emerging trends in the development and evolution of international financial markets within a complex and ever-changing environment.

Global EconomyFinancial MarketsTariffPolicyMonetary Policy

刘向东

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2024

新经济导刊
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新经济导刊

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.232
ISSN:1009-959X
年,卷(期):2024.(12)