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新疆财政金融协同防返贫效果的实证分析

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防止规模性返贫是全面推进乡村振兴的底线任务.文章基于2011-2020年新疆十四个地州的数据分别构建防返贫、财政支农、金融支农指标体系,并测度三者及财政金融协同综合指数;运用双固定效应、中介效应和门槛模型,实证检验财政支农、金融支农、财政金融协同与防返贫的关系.研究表明:财政支农、财政金融协同程度与防返贫成正相关,而金融支农在防返贫过程中未发挥显著作用;财政自给率、经济发展水平在财政金融协同作用于防返贫过程中存在中介和门槛效应;财政金融协同在支持南疆四地州防返贫方面发挥了更明显的作用.因此,应当优化财政金融扶持结构,增强协同效率;同时聚焦南疆,增强脱贫县的发展韧性,多方协同防返贫.
Empirical Analysis of the Effectiveness of Fiscal-Finance Coordination in Preventing Poverty Return in Xinjiang
Preventing large-scale return to poverty is the bottom line task of comprehensively promoting rural revitalization.Based on the data of 14 prefectures and prefectures in Xinjiang from 2011 to 2020,the paper constructs the index system of preventing re-turn to poverty,fiscal support to agriculture and financial support to agriculture,and measures the three indexes and the compre-hensive index of fiscal and financial cooperation.Using the double fixed effect,intermediary effect and threshold model,this paper empirically examines the relationship between fiscal support for agriculture,financial support for agriculture,fiscal-finance coordi-nation and preventing the return to poverty.The results are as follows.The degree of fiscal support to agriculture and fiscal-finance coordination is positively correlated with the prevention of poverty,but financial support to agriculture does not play a significant role in the prevention of poverty.The level of economic development and the rate of financial self-sufficiency show intermediary and threshold effects in the process of fiscal-finance synergies.Fiscal-finance coordination has played a more obvious role in sup-porting the four prefectures in southern Xinjiang to prevent the return of poverty.Therefore,we should optimize the financial sup-port structure and enhance the synergistic efficiency.At the same time,focus on southern Xinjiang,enhance the development resil-ience of counties out of poverty,and cooperate with various parties to prevent the return of poverty.

prevent poverty returnmultidimensional povertyfiscal-finance coordinationfiscal support for agriculturefinancial support for agriculture

谢婷婷、何晓焕、张倩

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新疆财经大学金融学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

新疆财经大学新疆财政与金融协同创新研究中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

防返贫 多维贫困 财政金融协同 财政支农 金融支农

国家社会科学基金一般项目

20BMZ150

2024

新疆农垦经济
新疆生产建设兵团农垦经济研究会 新疆生产建设兵团发展和改革委员会

新疆农垦经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.313
ISSN:1000-7652
年,卷(期):2024.(6)
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