首页|中国农业新质生产力:水平测度、区域差异及时空演化特征

中国农业新质生产力:水平测度、区域差异及时空演化特征

扫码查看
农业新质生产力是新质生产力的一个重要组成部分,发展农业新质生产力对实现农业高质量发展和建设农业强国具有重要意义.文章基于2011-2020年中国31个省份的面板数据,构建农业新质生产力指标,采取熵值法、Dagum基尼系数、ESDA法、核密度估计、传统与空间Markov链模型研究我国农业新质生产力发展水平、区域差异及空间演化趋势.结果表明:(1)样本期内,我国省份间农业新质生产力水平差距逐步缩小,但总体呈现东部>中部>西部>东北,由高到低的阶梯差异格局.(2)地理四大分区与三大粮食功能区总体基尼系数均呈下降趋势;地区间贡献率与地区内贡献率是我国农业新质生产力省份间差异的主要因素.(3)农业新质生产力发展有十分显著的空间相关性,东部与西部地区局部自相关集聚现象明显.(4)样本期内,区域内部存在极化差异现象,在未考虑空间因素影响下农业新质生产力发展存在"自我锁定效应"与"马太效应";纳入空间因素后,农业新质生产力发展转移概率有所提升.
New Quality Productivity of Chinese Agriculture:Horizontal Measurement,Regional Differences,and Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics
New quality productivity of Agriculture is an important component of new quality productivity,and its development is of great significance for achieving high-quality agricultural development and building an agricultural powerhouse.Based on panel da-ta from 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020,this article constructs indicators for agricultural new quality productivity and uses entropy method,Dagum Gini coefficient,ESDA method,kernel density estimation,traditional and spatial Markov chain models to study the development level,regional differences,and spatial evolution trends of agricultural new quality productivity in China.The results are as follows.(1)During the sample period,the gap in agricultural new quality productivity levels between provinces in Chi-na gradually narrowed,but overall showed a hierarchical pattern of differences from high to low,with a pattern of eastern region>central region>western region>northeast region.(2)The overall Gini coefficient of the four major geographical zones and the three major grain functional zones shows a downward trend;the inter regional and intra regional contribution rates are the main factors contributing to the differences in agricultural new quality productivity among provinces in China.(3)There is a significant spatial correlation in the development of agricultural new quality productivity,with obvious local autocorrelation clustering in the eastern and western regions.(4)During the sample period,there were polarization differences within the region,and there were"self-lock-ing effects"and"Matthew effects"in the development of agricultural new quality productivity without considering spatial factors;when incorporating spatial factors,the probability of the transfer of agricultural new quality productivity development increased.

agricultural new quality productivityregional differencesdynamic evolutionagricultural powerhouse

蒋正中、廖彩荣、孙鑫

展开 >

江西农业大学经济管理学院,江西 南昌 330045

江西农业大学江西省乡村振兴战略研究院,江西 南昌 330045

农业新质生产力 区域差异 动态演进 农业强国

2024

新疆农垦经济
新疆生产建设兵团农垦经济研究会 新疆生产建设兵团发展和改革委员会

新疆农垦经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.313
ISSN:1000-7652
年,卷(期):2024.(12)