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家庭农场"子承父业"主体意愿匹配及其效应研究

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传承主体意愿是否匹配关乎家庭农场长期发展规划和农业可持续发展.文章基于微观调研数据,根据匹配结果划分了四种传承类型,结合典型案例剖析各类农场传承的特点及其效应.研究结果表明,家庭农场代际传承呈现父代传递意愿高、子代承接意愿低的现象,仅有5.3%的样本能高度契合.依据传承主体传承意愿匹配结果,将传承情境划分为契合型、强迫型、放弃型和观望型四类.其中,契合型农场因具有可靠接班人而呈扩张态势,观望型农场因探索性发展而呈现缓慢扩张态势,而强迫型农场的发展动力随农场主年龄增加呈"倒U型"变化,放弃型农场因未来不确定性过大而呈萎缩型发展;各类农场未来发展动力和潜力由大到小为契合型、观望型、强迫型、放弃型.总结分析发现,在城乡差距、职业比较和农业情感等因素的制约和影响下,经济效益的吸引力在家庭农场传承中并不具有优势.为保证家庭农场顺畅传承,应鼓励"子承父业"式传承,推进"社会化"传承,同时加快农业经理人市场发展,形成家庭农场多元化传承模式.
Study on the Matching Degree and Effect of Intergenerational Inheriting Willingness of Family Farms
Whether the willingness of inheritance matches in family farms is related to the long-term development plan of family farms and the sustainable development of agriculture.Based on the micro-survey data,this paper divides four types of inheritance according to the matching results,and analyzes the characteristics and effects of various farm inheritance combined with typical cases.The results of the study show that the intergenerational inheritance of family farms presents the phenomenon of high willing-ness of parents to pass on and low willingness of offspring to inherit.Only 5.3%of the samples can be highly consistent.According to the matching results of"passing on"and"inheriting"intentions,the inheritance situation is divided into four types:fit,compul-sive,abandoned and wait-and-see.Among them,the fit-type farms are expanding due to their reliable inheritors;the wait-and-see farms are slowly expanding due to exploratory development;the development momentum of the compulsive farms shows an"in-verted U-shaped"change with the increase of the farmers'ages,and the abandoned farms show a shrinking trend due to excessive uncertainty in the future.The degree of future development momentum and potential of various types of farms are fit,wait-and-see,compulsive,and abandoned.The summary analysis finds that under the constraints and influence of factors such as the urban-rural gap,occupational comparison,and agricultural emotions,the attractiveness of economic benefits does not show advantages in the in-heritance of family farms.In order to ensure the smooth inheritance of family farms,it is necessary to encourage the inheriting prac-tice of the children,promote"socialization"succession,and accelerate the development of the"manager"market of family farms to form a diversified succession model of family farms.

family farmsintergenerational inheritancematching typeeffect

陈金兰、吴强

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山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东 泰安 271000

家庭农场 代际传承 匹配类型 效应

2024

新疆农垦经济
新疆生产建设兵团农垦经济研究会 新疆生产建设兵团发展和改革委员会

新疆农垦经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.313
ISSN:1000-7652
年,卷(期):2024.(12)