首页|前瞻性管理对银行预期信用损失的影响研究——基于58家上市商业银行的分析

前瞻性管理对银行预期信用损失的影响研究——基于58家上市商业银行的分析

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作为预期信用损失法实施的关键,前瞻性信息获取及调整是达到预期目标的主要手段,也是与旧准则的根本区别.本文对照国外前瞻性管理先进经验,分析我国商业银行在前瞻性管理上的差距,并选取国内A股、H股上市商业银行前瞻性管理数据进行实证研究.研究发现:前瞻性管理对银行减值准备计提具有显著积极影响,但存在效果不均衡、局部预期过度、缺乏同类可比等问题.建议监管机构加强对商业银行的规范指导和监督管理,完善预期信用损失计量体系,强化市场培育和市场监督.
Research on the Impact of Forward-Looking Management on Banks'Expected Credit Losses——An Analysis Based on 58 Listed Commercial Banks
As the key to the implementation of the Expected Credit Loss Methodology,the acquisition and ad-justment of forward-looking information are the main means to achieve the expected goals,which is also fundamen-tally different from the previous model.This paper analyzes the gaps in forward-looking management of China's commercial banks against the advanced experience of foreign forward-looking management,and selects the for-ward-looking management data of domestic A-share and H-share listed commercial banks for empirical research.The study finds that forward-looking management has a significant positive impact on banks'impairment provi-sioning,but there are problems such as uneven effects,excessive localized expectations,and lack of similar compa-rability.It is suggested that regulators should strengthen the regulatory guidance and supervision of commercial banks,improve the expected credit loss measurement system,and strengthen market cultivation and supervision.

forward-looking managementexpected credit lossescredit riskrisk managementinformation disclosurecredit assetsasset impairment provisionbanking supervision

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成都农商银行 四川成都 610041

前瞻性管理 预期信用损失 信用风险 风险管理 信息披露 信贷资产 资产减值准备 银行业监管

2024

西南金融
四川省金融学会

西南金融

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.821
ISSN:1009-4350
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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