首页|Speed prediction models for car and sports utility vehicle at locations along four-lane median divided horizontal curves

Speed prediction models for car and sports utility vehicle at locations along four-lane median divided horizontal curves

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Sites with varying geometric features were analyzed to develop the 85th percentile speed prediction models for car and sports utility vehicle (SUV) at 50 m prior to the point of curvature (PC), PC, midpoint of a curve (MC), point of tangent (PT) and 50 m beyond PT on four-lane median divided rural highways. The car and SUV speed data were combined in the analysis as they were found to be normally distributed and not significantly dif-ferent. Independent parameters representing geometric features and speed at the preceding section were logically selected in stepwise regression analyses to develop the models. Speeds at various locations were found to be dependent on some combinations of curve length, curva-ture and speed in the immediately preceding section of the highway. Curve length had a significant effect on the speed at locations 50 m prior to PC, PC and MC. The effect of curvature on speed was observed only at MC. The curve geometry did not have a significant effect on speed from PT onwards. The speed at 50 m prior to PC and curvature is the most significant parameter that affects the speed at PC and MC, respectively. Before entering a horizontal curve, drivers possibly perceive the curve based on its length. Longer curve encourages drivers to maintain higher speed in the preceding tangent section. Further, drivers start experiencing the effect of curvature only after entering the curve and adjust speed accordingly. Practitioners can use these findings in designing consistent horizontal curve for vehicle speed harmony.

Vehicle speed prediction modelFour-lane median divided highwayHorizontal curveRegression analysisThe 85th percentile speed

Avijit Maji、Ayush Tyagi

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Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India

RITES Ltd., Vashi, Navi Mumbai, India

authors are thankful to Indian Institute of Technology Bombay for providing funding

13IRCCSG001

2018

铁道工程科学(英文)
西南交通大学

铁道工程科学(英文)

影响因子:0.403
ISSN:2662-4745
年,卷(期):2018.26(4)
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