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不同空间尺度的内蒙古森林火点及面积分布格局研究

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通过选用空间变异性分析(变异系数)、全局空间自相关分析、热点分析和尺度方差分析等方法,研究1981-2020年内蒙古森林火点及面积在盟市和旗县2个空间尺度上分布的变异性、关联性及尺度效应.结果表明:盟市尺度林火面积变异系数总体呈上升趋势;旗县尺度林火面积变异系数总体呈下降趋势,旗县尺度空间变异性更大.40a全局森林火点Moran's Ⅰ指数为0.99,双空间尺度Moran's Ⅰ指数均呈下降趋势.其中,盟市级别最大值在1991-1995年,为0.46;旗县级别最大值在1986-1990年,为0.61.双尺度森林火点在空间上均呈现高度聚集性.旗县级尺度更显著地展示了森林火灾的空间分布差异及较小区域的森林火灾热点类型;盟市级尺度揭示了森林火灾的总体空间分布规律,热点类型明显缺乏多样性.盟市尺度热点区主要分布在呼伦贝尔市、兴安盟,冷点区不明显.旗县尺度均存在热点聚集区,林火发生水平较高.不同空间尺度的尺度方差表现为旗县>盟市,旗县级尺度林火面积差异对全内蒙古自治区的总体差异贡献率远超过盟市尺度.1981-2020年林火面积在双空间尺度呈现一定的分布规律,火点空间聚集性呈减弱趋势,森林火点与林火面积之间不完全呈正相关关系.内蒙古东部地区由于自然因素和人为因素造成火灾发生次数高于中西部,相关部门应继续加大防火力度.随着尺度的减小,林火空间分布模式愈加明显、聚集度增强,未来需进一步缩小研究范围.
Patterns of Forest Fire Point and Area Distribution in Inner Mongolia at Different Spatial Scales
The variability,correlation and scale effects of the distribution of forest fires and areas in Inner Mongolia at two spatial scales,namely,league/city and banner/county,from 1981 to 2020 were investigated by choosing methods such as spatial variability analysis(coefficient of variation),global spatial autocorrelation,hot-spot analysis and scale analysis of variance(ANOVA).The results showed that the coefficient of variation of forest fire area at the league/city scale showed an increasing trend;the coefficient of variation of forest fire area at the banner/county scale showed a decreasing trend,and the spatial variability at the banner/county scale was even larger.the Moran's Ⅰ index of forest fire points in the whole bureau was 0.99 for 40 a.Moran's Ⅰ index at both spa-tial scales showed a decreasing trend;among them,the maximum value of Moran's Ⅰ index at league/city level was 0.46 in 1991-1995 and the maximum value of Moran's Ⅰ index at banner/county level was 0.61 in 1986-1990.The banner/county scale more significantly shows the spatial distribution differences of forest fires and the hotspot types of forest fires in smaller areas;the league/city scale reveals the overall spatial distribution pattern of forest fires,and the hotspot types obviously lack diversity.The hotspot areas at the league/city scales are mainly distrib-uted in Hulunbeier City and Xing'an League;the cold spot areas are not obvious.Hot spot aggregation areas exis-ted in all flag/county scales,and the level of forest fire occurrence was high.The order of scale variance at differ-ent spatial scales was:banner/county>league/city.The contribution of the variance of forest fire area at the flag/county scale to the overall variance of the whole Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is much higher than that at the league/city scale.The forest fire area at the dual spatial scales from 1981 to 2020 shows a certain distri-bution pattern,and the spatial agglomeration of fire points shows a weakening trend.There is not exactly a posit-ive correlation between forest fire points and forest fire area.The number of fires in the eastern part of Inner Mon-golia is higher than that in the central and western parts due to natural and anthropogenic factors,and the relevant departments should continue to increase fire prevention efforts.As the scale decreases,the spatial distribution pat-tern of forest fires becomes more obvious and the degree of aggregation increases,so it is essential to further nar-row the scope of the study.

forest firedistribution patternspatial autocorrelationscale effectforest fire pointInner Mon-golia

张恒、刘瑞祥、杨宏伟

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内蒙古农业大学林学院,内蒙古呼和浩特 010019

内蒙古林业科学研究院,内蒙古呼和浩特 010010

林火 分布格局 空间自相关 尺度效应 森林火点 内蒙古

2024

西南林业大学学报
西南林业大学

西南林业大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.773
ISSN:2095-1914
年,卷(期):2024.44(11)